MarSolo Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 So, basically Trump gained nothing by releasing that interview early. If anything, he gave it higher ratings because people wanted to see how it was edited to maybe make him seem LESS whiny. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atom631 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 hour ago, SaysWho? said: The PA numbers are flipped in the second tweet, btw. I checked. What does this mean exactly? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 26 minutes ago, Massdriver said: Biden’s national 538 lead is now in the 8s. Let’s hope the higher quality stuff brings him back. 8.7 due to Rasmussen's Trump +1 poll. This was their polling in 2018: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, atom631 said: What does this mean exactly? Most people who already voted voted for Biden. Most who haven't yet are voting Trump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atom631 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: Most people who already voted voted for Biden. Most who haven't yet are voting Trump. Got it. But we really don’t know what percentage of early/mail in is of the state, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 21 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: Most people who already voted voted for Biden. Most who haven't yet are voting Trump. Hopefully this is motivation for people who are unlikely voters to go and vote for Biden in the next 8 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 32 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: Most people who already voted voted for Biden. Most who haven't yet are voting Trump. Trump on Trump supporter election day crime incoming Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 i saw this so you have to, too 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarSolo Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 What the fucking fuck was this shit question? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marioandsonic Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Isn't 538 polls tightening because they threw out older polls or something like that? Either way, what I want to know is per state the number of people that have already voted this year vs the number of people that voted total in 2016. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, MarSolo said: What the fucking fuck was this shit question? Journalists are such lazy fucking idiots Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, MarSolo said: What the fucking fuck was this shit question? Honestly.... I expected better out of O'Donnell. But this is top shelf lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnny Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 19 minutes ago, MarSolo said: What the fucking fuck was this shit question? Oh man that gave me a real lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spork3245 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 O’Donnell just doesn’t see race or gender /TrumpSupporter Holy F, my jaw actually dropped at that question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
legend Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 hour ago, MarSolo said: What the fucking fuck was this shit question? How can anyone be this obtuse!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 That question is just......whaaaaaaat? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 lol Kamala handled that dumb ass question well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I especially love how she scrunches up her face while asking it, you can tell she's personally concerned about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 3 hours ago, Massdriver said: Biden’s national 538 lead is now in the 8s. Let’s hope the higher quality stuff brings him back. It's gone up due to a +9, +13, and +14 poll from three other firms. Also, the equivalent 2016 day is 10/31. Clinton was coming down at this point and was sitting at +5.8 the day of the Comey Letter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5timechamp Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 the voter numbers look solid.. what will electoral college do if Trump Supreme Courts them to do whatever they want? now is the time to say “to hell with voters“ give it to Trump so u can continue to stack the deck for 4 more years? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 For the undecideds, they disapprove of Trump by a 2:1 margin. Nath Cohn was asked about their polling in 2018 which underestimated Democrats. He says that they definitely were off in Republicans' favor in 2018 because they missed Hispanic turnout, not support, which helped people like now-Senator Sinema in Arizona, along with Beto's race being extremely close against Cruz. And Trump isn't at 50%, so this is a winnable state. Also, DAMN at that gender gap with Hispanic voters: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 22 minutes ago, Jason said: I especially love how she scrunches up her face while asking it, you can tell she's personally concerned about it. There are no stupid questions, until this question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Massdriver Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 President: general election Texas OCT 22-25, 2020 B- Data for Progress* 1,018 LV Biden 49% Less Biden +1 Trump 48% Jorgensen 1% Hawkins 0% President: general election Texas OCT 20-25, 2020 A+ Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 802 LV Biden 43% Less Trump +4 Trump 47% Jorgensen 3% Hawkins 0% President: general election Texas OCT 13-20, 2020 B YouGov 1,000 LV Biden 45% Less Trump +5 Trump 50% Jorgensen 2% Hawkins 0% KEY A = ADULTS RV = REGISTERED VOTERS V = VOTERS LV = LIKELY VOTERS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Massdriver Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Texas isn't looking as good from the NYT poll which is A+. I'm really curious how it's going to end up here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I think texas is a straight up tossup, but with polls of likely voters the pollster specific house model for who is a likely voter is a crapshoot given the record turnout there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pikachu Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I believe that the Democrats have polled about 4 points better than the polls in the last couple of election cycles in Texas. If you add 4 points to Biden, he pulls dead even with Trump in that Times poll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, Pikachu said: I believe that the Democrats have polled about 4 points better than the polls in the last couple of election cycles in Texas. If you add 4 points to Biden, he pulls dead even with Trump in that Times poll. This assumes that they haven't adjusted for these previous factors (which some have). But I do hope Biden over-performs there, obviously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marioandsonic Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I doubt that Biden takes Texas, but it would be amazing if he did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, marioandsonic said: I doubt that Biden takes Texas, but it would be amazing if he did. I feel like Abbott wouldn't have gotten so aggressive with the voter suppression if they weren't worried about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, Jason said: I feel like Abbott wouldn't have gotten so aggressive with the voter suppression if they weren't worried about it. He's more worried about the state house than presidency Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Texas might go blue, fam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, Joe said: Texas might go blue, fam. Not if those voters are primarily Vietnamese. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Emperor Diocletian II said: Not if those voters are primarily Vietnamese. My Vietnamese friend from the Navy who lives in Orange County voted for Biden, but voted pretty much straight ticket GOP on the rest of the ballot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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