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Joe Biden beats Donald Trump, officially making Trump a one-term twice impeached, twice popular-vote losing president


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5 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

Not in and of itself, but Nate has his own agenda, all these guys do, and he's not really the only game in town anymore so branch out. There's a lot of valid critiques of his methodology that doesn't require a degree in statistics to understand.

 

But the constant hand-wringing, without evidence mind you, of the shoe being about to drop against Biden is fucking tiresome.

 

He's not doing that tho.

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1 minute ago, Joe said:

Also Elliott Morris is definitely interesting to read and I was getting his newsletters way before he became semi-popular on Twitter, but he seems way too obsessed about debunking Nate's model and it's kind of pathetic.

Coattail riding, but it is interesting to get a direct criticism of Nate, very informative

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9 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

Coattail riding, but it is interesting to get a direct criticism of Nate, very informative

 

Yes, it's 100% coattail riding, and remember, Nate was not the only game in town in 2016. He was just the only one that wasn't embarrassingly wrong.

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15 minutes ago, Massdriver said:

I don't see a +15 poll here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/

 

There is a +14 from Opinium which is not a rated polling agency @538. 

 

That's the poll. It shows up still as +15 for me. Either way, it's not a serious poll, so including it with the rest is silly, much less including it in a polling average.

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