Jump to content

Get in losers, we're going projecting


Joe

Recommended Posts

It's so hard to separate what I want to happen versus what I think is likelier to happen, especially because of the outside chance that Montana and Indiana are much closer than many expect (Indiana still with a good lead for Trump, Montana tightening for Biden in October), and also because Iowa and Ohio are much harder wins than Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan.

 

What I'd love to see:

 

38NoP.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

 

What a few points in another direction might end up giving us that will make me happy but not as thrilled:

 

XwV08.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

 

A mix of hopes and expectations:

 

26mR9.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Fantastical, absolute best case map

KndVe.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

 

 

and my actual prediction:

 

LwBoE.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

That's right, I'm calling AK for Biden. That, tx, oh, IA, FL, and GA all less than 0.5%

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Emperor Diocletian II said:

The upside is that my projection is based on an absolutely monumental polling error in PA, one of such historic proportions that the entire data science discipline should be cast into the void.

 

After I just finished spending 17k on this bootcamp? No thanks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So many people projecting Ohio red after i phone-banked yesterday is kinda rude. Those two elderly women that are going to bring their ID's to the polling place because I reminded them are going to swing it for the Dems, you'll all see!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Joe said:

So many people projecting Ohio red after i phone-banked yesterday is kinda rude. Those two elderly women that are going to bring their ID's to the polling place because I reminded them are going to swing it for the Dems, you'll all see!

Growing up in ohio and having extensive friend and family networks still there really dampens the enthusiasm for a blue ohio

Link to comment
Share on other sites

New prediction:  

 

Texas will indeed be won by Biden.  BUT a series of legal battles by Trump and the Texas GOP will result in Texas not casting ANY electoral votes on December 12th.  This would reduce the number of total EVs to 500, and reduce corresponding number to win to 251.  

 

Final result:  Biden 349, Trump 146, Ron Paul 3, Bernie Sanders 2.  

 

ZONXv.png
WWW.270TOWIN.COM

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election

 

  • Confused 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...