2022 Midterm Thread

[SaysWho?]

1 minute ago, marioandsonic said:

 

Is CCM still in good shape to win NV?  If so, that would be 50

 

From Ralston:

 

Bottom line: This first batch of 35K mail ballots shows a partisan breakdown that strongly favors CCM, and if the trend continues, she is going to win.

But miles to go before I can finally sleep, and we will know a LOT when Clark/Washoe post tonight.

[Jason]

 

[mclumber1]

4 minutes ago, marioandsonic said:

 

Is CCM still in good shape to win NV?  If so, that would be 50

 

10% of the vote is still outstanding, and she's down by ~9000 votes.  There is a chance she overtakes Laxalt. 

Sisolak is probably going to lose though.  A very mixed bag overall in Nevada for the Democrats.  

[PaladinSolo]

8 minutes ago, marioandsonic said:

 

Is CCM still in good shape to win NV?  If so, that would be 50

Yes, you probably won't see a call till saturday when they know for sure.

[SaysWho?]

Just now, mclumber1 said:

 

10% of the vote is still outstanding, and she's down by ~9000 votes.  There is a chance she overtakes Laxalt. 

Sisolak is probably going to lose though.  A very mixed bag overall in Nevada for the Democrats.  

Is it though? I think the Governor had some scandals, but keeping their house and senate seats, legislative majority, and winning that attorney general race against I believe an election denier is quite a showing since they probably could have kept the governors mansion had that dude stayed out of trouble.

[atom631]

Theres something magical about watching Trump get cancelled by the GOP now. 

 

[PaladinSolo]

AZ counties confirmed outstanding ballot estimate as of 12PM MST Nov. 11

State: 518,034

 

Apache 8,500

Cochise 8,662

Coconino 12,231

Gila 269

Graham 118

La Paz 1,972

Maricopa 353,885

Mohave 10,600

Pima 114,203

Pinal 16,281

Yavapai 12,458

Yuma 9,180

 

 

Ballots left to count in AZ, Obviously the big ones are Maricopa and Pima, Dems will gain in Pima by a lot, and then they need to keep the margins narrow in Maricopa.

[Guest]

Again, very embarrassing how pitiful the vote counting apparatus is in these states.

[CitizenVectron]

31 minutes ago, sblfilms said:

Again, very embarrassing how pitiful the vote counting apparatus is in these states.

 

There's no reason any election (even using paper ballots) should take more than two to three hours to count and declare.

[mclumber1]

Just now, CitizenVectron said:

 

There's no reason any election (even using paper ballots) should take more than two to three hours to count and declare.

 

With mail in ballots, if they are postmarked by election day (but received after election day) throws a wrench in this.  But yeah, it's a bit embarrassing that it take this long.  More states need to use Florida's election methods, whatever they are, because they seem to work really efficiently. 

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

Late arriving ballots are a problem. But even New York got their shit together apparently!

[osxmatt]

This is my former district, before being redistricted with the creation of OR-6. 

 

OR-5 was previously represented by 7 term blue dog Democrat Kurt Schrader, but he got primaried for a litany of reasons. Good flip for Republicans.

 

Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer wins Oregon’s 5th District seat in Congress, flipping longtime Democratic seat red

WWW.OREGONLIVE.COM

---

That means Republicans will at least double their share of Oregon’s seats in the U.S. House.

 

[Jason]

Texas and Florida have votes still being counted too, the margins are just big enough that they can be called early. 

[ThreePi]

I don't know what voting looks like in other states, but all my votes in Illinois are a simple fill-in-the-bubble on a sheet and then you scan it into a machine. Seems like a simple and fast system.

[Guest]

3 minutes ago, ThreePi said:

I don't know what voting looks like in other states, but all my votes in Illinois are a simple fill-in-the-bubble on a sheet and then you scan it into a machine. Seems like a simple and fast system.

From my understanding, the primary issue that most of the really slow states have is they don’t count the mail in stuff as it comes in. One of the major changes Florida, and now Georgia after 2020 did, was they count all pre-Election day stuff as it rolls through.

 

You still have to deal with late arrivals in tight races, but when you Nevada still with only 90% counted on Friday, they clearly have issues that need addressing beyond the to y issue of post e-Day arrivals that every state will always have to deal with.

[MarSolo]

To be fair to Arizona, each vote must be blessed by Meghan McCain before they are counted. 

[mclumber1]

The independent candidate McMullin in Utah exceeded expectations in my opinion.  Yeah, he lost to Mike Lee by 13 points, but compare it to prior Senate races in Utah:  The last time a Democrat faced off against the Republican running for Senate in that state, the margin was much wider, and you have to go back decades to see any Democrat winning or even coming close to winning in that very conservative state. 

[SaysWho?]

The independent commission in Michigan did great.

 

[Jason]

Sarah Palin tells supporters to stop donating to the GOP

WWW.INDEPENDENT.CO.UK

---

Former vice presidential candidate declares war on ‘dark, dysfunctional GOP machine’

 

[mclumber1]

This Guy Just Threw The Senate Election Into Chaos From His Basement

WWW.VICE.COM

---

And Chase Oliver is not sorry.

 

Libertarians lending lefties a hand 

[skillzdadirecta]

Just saw on CNN... Democrats won voters under 45, Republicans won voters over 45. Dems won Millenials by 8-9 points and won Gen Z'ers by 20 whole points  What's even more shocking as that Gen X'ers went Republican!  What the actual fuck?! Is it true you get dumber the older you get? How can I avoid this fate?!

[Uaarkson]

Just now, skillzdadirecta said:

Just saw on CNN... Democrats won voters under 45, Republicans won voters over 45. Dems won Millenials by 8-9 points and won Gen Z'ers by 20 whole points  What's even more shocking as that Gen X'ers went Republican!  What the actual fuck?! Is it true you get dumber the older you get? How can I avoid this fate?!

We’ve known for a while that Gen X fucking blows.

[BloodyHell]

2 minutes ago, skillzdadirecta said:

Just saw on CNN... Democrats won voters under 45, Republicans won voters over 45. Dems won Millenials by 8-9 points and won Gen Z'ers by 20 whole points  What's even more shocking as that Gen X'ers went Republican!  What the actual fuck?! Is it true you get dumber the older you get? How can I avoid this fate?!

Dude, GenX is the most Republican generation.

[BloodyHell]

3 minutes ago, Uaarkson said:

We’ve known for a while that Gen X fucking blows.

Suck? Or the last generation to be able to avail themselves of the American Dream en mass, so they still believe in bootstraps.

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

They stuck because they got the most lead ingested as a generation

[mclumber1]

19 minutes ago, skillzdadirecta said:

Just saw on CNN... Democrats won voters under 45, Republicans won voters over 45. Dems won Millenials by 8-9 points and won Gen Z'ers by 20 whole points  What's even more shocking as that Gen X'ers went Republican!  What the actual fuck?! Is it true you get dumber the older you get? How can I avoid this fate?!

 

Hippies from the 60s and 70s are now reliable Republican voters.  It happens to every generation.  40 years from now, Generation bleepbloop will be blaming Gen Z'ers for Democratic losses.  

[Chollowa]

In a new batch of 27.3k ballots counted in Clark County, here are the #nvsen results: - Cortez Masto received 17.2k votes (63 percent) - Laxalt received 9k votes (33 percent) This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from 9k to about 800 votes. 

 

from Sean Golonka, courtesy of Elon's hellscape app

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

From Jon Ralston in Nevada:

 

Governor: Lombardo (R) projected as winner 

Secretary of State: Aguilar (D) projected as winner 

Treasurer: Conine (D) projected as winner 

 

It's also getting really close to having CCM projected as the winner of the Senate race.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

@Jason - Bass has taken the lead over Caruso

[b_m_b_m_b_m]

35 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Hippies from the 60s and 70s are now reliable Republican voters.  It happens to every generation.  40 years from now, Generation bleepbloop will be blaming Gen Z'ers for Democratic losses.  

Those hippes were always conservatives they just didn’t want to die in Vietnam. 
 

nixon won the youth vote in 72

[Air_Delivery]

45 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Hippies from the 60s and 70s are now reliable Republican voters.  It happens to every generation.  40 years from now, Generation bleepbloop will be blaming Gen Z'ers for Democratic losses.  

Nah that only happens when you have money. This generation has no money 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

@Littleronin - looks like you're better off than expected!

 

It genuinely appears that Nevadans took pretty much all of their COVID lockdown frustrations out on Sisolak and no other Democrats.

[PaladinSolo]

From Dave Wasserman:

 

Quote

New: #CA47 Rep. Katie Porter's (D) lead over Scott Baugh (R) just expanded to 4,555 votes (2.3%). This one's not trending in the right direction for Republicans.

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

From Dave Wasserman:

 

Quote

CA49 Rep. Mike Levin's (D) lead over Brian Maryott (R) just expanded to 9,073 votes (4.2%). This one's in even better shape for Democrats.

 

[Air_Delivery]

Just now, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

From Dave Wasserman:

 

 

I've been monitoring this for awhile. I'm not sure why they are taking forever to count as mail in ballots have been avaliable for a month.