Fizzzzle Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 There are 34 Senate seats up for election in 2022. 20 are held by Republicans, 14 by Democrats. The following are Senate seats that likely aren't going anywhere: Richard Shelby (R, Alabama) - he might retire, but that seat still won't flip Lisa Murkowski (R, Alaska) John Boozman (R, Arkansas) Alex Padilla (D, California) - he might get primaried, but it will remain Democrat Richard Blumenthal (D, Connecticut) Brian Schatz (D, Hawaii) Mike Crapo (R, Idaho) Tammy Duckworth (D, Illinois) Todd Young (R, Indiana) Jerry Moran (R, Kansas) Rand Paul (R, Kentucky) John Kennedy (R, Louisiana) Chris Van Hollen (D, Maryland) - he might get primaried Chuck Schumer (D, New York) - will AOC come for him? John Hoeven (R, North Dakota) James Lankford (R, Oklahoma) Ron Wyden (D, Oregon) Tim Scott (R, South Carolina) John Thune (R, South Dakota) Mike Lee (R, Utah) Patrick Leahy (D, Vermont) - he's old as shit so he may retire Patty Murray (D, Washington) The following will be contentious: Mark Kelly (D, Arizona) Michael Bennett (D, Colorado) - likely won't flip, but Colorado did elect a Republican Senator as recently as 2014. Marco Rubio (R, Florida) - this will be a fun one Raphael Warnock (D, Georgia) - aww shit, here we go again Chuck Grassley (R, Iowa) - maybe I'm being optimistic here, but if there is some kind of dissolution of the Trump cult, Iowa could be a toss-up. Grassley will be almost 90 years old, if he's still alive in 2022. Roy Blunt (R, Missouri) - you wouldn't think it, but Blunt did not win by that much in 2016. Keep an eye on this one. Pat Toomey (R, Pennsylvania) - he's retiring. Open election. Catherine Cortez Masto (D, Nevada) Rob Portman (R, Ohio) - Ohio went blue as recently as 2012 Richard Burr (R, North Carolina) - he's retiring. This will be a close one. Maggie Hassan (D, New Hampshire) Ron Johnson (R, Wisconsin) So, by my count, there are 12 seats in real contention. 5 Democrat and 7 Republican. If we go strictly off of the 2020 presidential race as an indicator (which may not be accurate, as the fallout from the cult of Trump is as yet unknown), Pennsylvania and Wisconsin would flip to the Democrats, while the rest would remain the same. I'm wondering if we'll see a red shift in states like Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania after 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 All I know is that they need to put Stacey Abrams in charge of all these races. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser_Soze Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Damn. Way to steal the thread away from @SaysWho? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzzzle Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Keyser_Soze said: Damn. Way to steal the thread away from @SaysWho? I would never put that much effort into a post 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spawn_of_Apathy Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I really hope we can unseat Schumer and get somebody with a spine. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser_Soze Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Fizzzzle said: I would never put that much effort into a post @SaysWho? will be the judge of how much effort you put into a post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 If you’re using their win margin in their last election to determine if it will be contentious or not, that’s not always trustworthy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzzzle Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 Just now, Joe said: If you’re using their win margin in their last election to determine if it will be contentious or not, that’s not always trustworthy. True, but Senate elections are generally far enough apart that it's hard to really base it on much until the campaign starts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I can see warnock toomey and hassan's seats flipping but that's about it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 No idea what things are going to look like in 2 years, the GOP seems destined to be in an all out war with itself soon, and they've already started to peace out of elections based on the GA runoffs, and i really don't see Biden pulling the factions together for them like Obama did. Dems on the other hand could see their engagement drop like with Obama, but then again SCOTUS could do some really stupid shit, and who knows if the memory of what GOP control of either chamber was like, stays fresh, lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ricofoley Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 I see a lot of leftists on Twitter basically already accepting it as fate that this is going to be an exact repeat of 2008-2010, and that a GOP resurgence is inevitable. And when you look at how much gerrymandering and population distribution favors Republicans, and how tenuous the congressional majorities are, it's easy to feel that way. But the fact that Biden was up at the podium yesterday saying, correctly, that because interest rates on debt are so low that they can continue to deficit spend to address the crisis is seemingly a signal that at there are at least some voices around Biden who are determined not to repeat Obama's first term. I think the single biggest thing is just finding a way to get the vaccine rollout stepped up. If people's social lives start feeling more normal again, I think that's a huge psychological effect that could overcome what might still be weak economic numbers that would usually be bad for incumbents. There's another part of me, though, that looks at the stock market every once in a while and sees that seemingly every day Tesla stock is up like 5% again for seemingly no reason whatsoever, and thinks that a 2008-ish bubble bursting is absolutely inevitable, and that Biden's gonna get 100% blamed for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
69los Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 She's coming to tap dat ass. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Abrams can be GA Governor from 2022-2030, but quit mid-term in 2028 to run for President (if the GOP wins in 2024), or 2032, otherwise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ricofoley Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 If Dems can't look at that +56% number and decide to go as big as possible as soon as possible on legislation and not give a shit about what kind of procedure they use to get there, then you might as well just shut the party down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ricofoley said: If Dems can't look at that +56% number and decide to go as big as possible as soon as possible on legislation and not give a shit about what kind of procedure they use to get there, then you might as well just shut the party down And if they're not sending out letters to accompany the checks with "Smiling Joe Biden Bucks" with his picture in 72 pt font it's political malpractice of another degree 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5timechamp Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Well at least the Arizona GOP is taking the steps to prevent any controversy by adding legislature that will allow them to toss out any election results that they dont appreciate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cusideabelincoln Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 hours ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: And if they're not sending out letters to accompany the checks with "Smiling Joe Biden Bucks" with his picture in 72 pt font it's political malpractice of another degree Yep, they have to take full credit for it. No "thank the Republicans that let us do it!" nonsense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 he's gonna raise $20MM of out of state money and lose by 50 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: he's gonna raise $20MM of out of state money and lose by 50 points Dems need to stop with the tough talkin’ veteran thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 35 minutes ago, sblfilms said: Dems need to stop with the tough talkin’ veteran thing Honestly if Democrats just nominated progressive women (and progressive, black women in the south) they would win more seats than their current strategy of "I've shot and killed people and have balls of steel because I'm an ex-marine-strategy" of nominating people. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firewithin Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 how early is too early for doom posting? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 5 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: Honestly if Democrats just nominated progressive women (and progressive, black women in the south) they would win more seats than their current strategy of "I've shot and killed people and have balls of steel because I'm an ex-marine-strategy" of nominating people. Its just weird to me because while there certainly is a type of GOP voter very attracted to that, I think you potentially alienate more of the Dem base with that style than you’ll ever win over from the GOP. Just seems like a really poorly thought out angle. Play to your strengths and mix in some populism that can also be attractive to conservatives and you’ll probably be more successful than trying to peel off GOP voters by out patrioting them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzzzle Posted March 2, 2021 Author Share Posted March 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, sblfilms said: Its just weird to me because while there certainly is a type of GOP voter very attracted to that, I think you potentially alienate more of the Dem base with that style than you’ll ever win over from the GOP. Just seems like a really poorly thought out angle. Play to your strengths and mix in some populism that can also be attractive to conservatives and you’ll probably be more successful than trying to peel of GOP voters by out patrioting them It's crazy to me that Bernie did better than Hillary in battleground states, which she then lost to Trump, and their takeaway was "we need more centrists." Kind of almost makes you think they don't actually want to change anything... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted March 2, 2021 Share Posted March 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, Fizzzzle said: It's crazy to me that Bernie did better than Hillary in battleground states, which she then lost to Trump, and their takeaway was "we need more centrists." Kind of almost makes you think they don't actually want to change anything... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzzzle Posted March 2, 2021 Author Share Posted March 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, thewhyteboar said: "At least we're not Republicans." -Democrat motto since 1968 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cusideabelincoln Posted March 2, 2021 Share Posted March 2, 2021 Centrist Democrat? More like DemocRAT! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 Like, honestly what is left for the American people to do but resort to violence, in order to change the political state of the country? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Allah willing, he dies before 2024 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pikachu Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 House Approves Major Election Reform And Voting Rights Bill WWW.NPR.ORG The "For the People Act" would dramatically overhaul the U.S. voting system and seek to limit the amount of dark money in politics. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 What are the chances it can actually pass the Senate in any way? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 11 hours ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: Allah willing, he dies before 2024 All of the McDonald's preservatives in his system have probably made him immortal by now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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