Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Might as well post this thread because it genuinely appears that the situation is going to come to a head in the relatively near future. Israel-Gaza live updates: Iran readies 100 cruise missiles for possible Israel strike, US says - ABC News ABCNEWS.GO.COM Six months after Hamas terrorists invaded Israel on Oct. 7, the Israeli military continues its bombardment of the neighboring Gaza Strip. Quote U.S. officials continue to see indicators that Iran could be ready to attack Israel with missile and drone strikes. Iran has readied a large number of missiles for a possible strike, according to three U.S. officials. Two of the officials said that Iran has readied more than 100 cruise missiles for a possible strike. Iran has also readied a sizeable number of drones that could be used in an attack on Israel, according to one official. The officials said that Iran has been readying the missiles and drones over the last week. Iran warns U.S. to stay out of fight with Israel or face attack on troops (Axios) Quote Iran sent a message to the Biden administration through several Arab countries earlier this week: if the U.S. gets involved in the fighting between Israel and Iran, U.S. forces in the region will be attacked, three U.S. officials told Axios. Why it matters: The U.S. and Israel are preparing for Iran to retaliate against Israel for an airstrike that killed a top Iranian general in Damascus last week. The Iranian supreme leader has threatened "punishment" for Israel but through private channels Iran has signaled it would be limited. Israel and the U.S. think an Iranian attack would include the launch of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and attack drones from Iran to Israeli territory. U.S. officials say the Biden administration asked Israel to notify the U.S. and for the U.S. to have a say before decisions are made about any retaliation by Israel. Iran signals it will limit response to Israel attack to avoid escalation (Axios) Quote Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian told his German counterpart on Thursday that Iran is determined to respond to Israel's bombing of its consular building in Damascus last week, but will do so in an "appropriate" and limited way, a source with direct knowledge of the call told Axios. Why it matters: German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock initiated the call at the request of the Biden administration, which is highly concerned that an Iranian attack on Israel over the strike in Damascus — which killed a senior general — could lead to regional escalation. Quote Behind the scenes: The 90-minute call between Baerbock and Amir-Abdollahian focused almost entirely on the recent tensions, according to the source with knowledge of the call. The source added that while the Iranian foreign minister said during the call that the Iranian response will be limited, it is unclear how Iran defines a limited response. Baerbock conveyed a message from the U.S., warning Amir-Abdollahian not to underestimate the scope of the Israeli response to an attack against it from Iranian soil, the source said. Iran's Foreign Ministry said Amir-Abdollahian told his German counterpart that Israel had violated international law and the Vienna Convention with its attack, and "legitimate self-defense with the aim of punishing the aggressor is a necessity." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Soooo...my advice to everyone is to fill up your gas tanks as soon as you can! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 53 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said: Soooo...my advice to everyone is to fill up your gas tanks as soon as you can! Thinking they'll close the Strait? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 pointing at the sign In all seriousness, I do believe that regardless of whatever intel we have, the Iranian response will be less than we anticipate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 6 minutes ago, Jwheel86 said: Thinking they'll close the Strait? That course of action will be largely dependent on what Tel Aviv does. 4 minutes ago, CayceG said: pointing at the sign In all seriousness, I do believe that regardless of whatever intel we have, the Iranian response will be less than we anticipate. While that could very well be the case, what will the Israelis do in return? How do they calibrate their retaliatory action? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneticBlueprint Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Just now, Commissar SFLUFAN said: How do they calibrate their retaliatory action? I mean the only answer here is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Also, it's absolutely true that nothing ever happens... ...until it does 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Part of me thinks Iran will aim at some well-protected military installations with missiles that are all but intended to be intercepted. Iran seems to be really light-footed when it comes to the escalation ladder (especially in regards to our kinetic exchanges with them) so that's why I think this will be underwhelming. Now, how badly Tel Aviv overreacts... that's on them! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 2 minutes ago, CayceG said: Part of me thinks Iran will aim at some well-protected military installations with missiles that are all but intended to be intercepted. The Iranians have already signaled that the targets will be Israeli military/intelligence facilities which is why Tehran believes that the attack is calibrated to mitigate the risk of significant escalation by Tel Aviv. However, as you correctly stated, the escalatory "wild card" in this is the Israeli government. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 I mean Iran has been behind this whole thing to keep the peace deal with Saudi Arabia from happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Air_Delivery Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 I would be very surprised if they hit mainland israel. I'm guessing they are gonna hit an embassy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUFKAK Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Giving bibi another external threat while facing widespread domestic pressure against the government. Absolutely no way this goes sideways at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Footage shows ship being boarded in strait of Hormuz – video | World news | The Guardian WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM Video shared with the Associated Press shows attack on vessel between the Gulf and the Gulf of Oman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwheel86 Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ricofoley Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Might be happening Quote Israeli media cites foreign media reports of dozens of inbound UAVs from Iran. No official word yet in Israel. Also, I'm not aware of any air raid alerts in Israel. Bluesky BSKY.APP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spork3245 Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 The drones on their own are an annoyance - the real concern would be if their objective is to overwhelm air defenses in order to facilitate ballistic missiles which would be timed to impact at the same time the drones arrive so those launches would occur much later. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnny Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 filled up my tank yesterday 🤝 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 1 minute ago, johnny said: filled up my tank yesterday 🤝 Shit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chakoo Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Iranian state media has just confirmed the attack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 The Eisenhower CSG either has entered or is moving towards the Red Sea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Iranian Telegram channels claim that the Houthis have also launched drones towards Israel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marioandsonic Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 15 minutes ago, johnny said: filled up my tank yesterday 🤝 Got mine filled up just now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Israel's Channel 12 is reporting that the Iranians have also launched cruise missiles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spork3245 Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUFKAK Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 My sister and step mom are in municipal shelters. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 The IRGC is confirming that missiles have been launched as well as drones. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ominous Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 9 minutes ago, marioandsonic said: Got mine filled up just now Just told my wife to fill up her shit box. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUFKAK Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 7 months ago we were so close to meaningful steps towards peace. Fuck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 The USS Carney just transited the Suez Canal into the Med yesterday so it's well in position to support intercepts like it did during its deployment in the Red Sea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Two sets of drones have been identified - one set was heard over eastern Jordan, the other seen south of Baghdad. https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ Jordanian security sources have told Reuters that they're ready to shoot down the drones if possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 Fighter-based interceptions of the drones appears to have started over Jordan and Syria. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 13 Author Share Posted April 13 The IRGC has named this operation "True Promise". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Air_Delivery Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Are these miltary drones or small quadcopter style? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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