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2022 Midterm Thread


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Some states are cleaning out voter rolls. Be sure your name isn't one of them. Use this site to check your voter registration status.
 

og-www-default.png
WWW.VOTE.ORG

It takes less than 30 seconds to check your registration status with our free 50-state tool. And if you're not registered, we'll help you take care of that too. Fast, free, secure, non-partisan.

 

Then, find a polling place near you.

polling-place-locator.png
WWW.VOTE.ORG

Wondering where you vote on Election Day? Use our polling place locator to find out.

 

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1 hour ago, CastletonSnob said:

Some states are cleaning out voter rolls. Be sure your name isn't one of them. Use this site to check your voter registration status.
 

og-www-default.png
WWW.VOTE.ORG

It takes less than 30 seconds to check your registration status with our free 50-state tool. And if you're not registered, we'll help you take care of that too. Fast, free, secure, non-partisan.

 

Then, find a polling place near you.

polling-place-locator.png
WWW.VOTE.ORG

Wondering where you vote on Election Day? Use our polling place locator to find out.

 

 

My man, this is not the place you should be spending your energy on informing people of this stuff.

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29 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

I don’t know why dems don’t just put some shithead resistance lib as a challenger to safe R seats like MTG and then just funnel that money to actually winnable races instead of millions being wasted on vanity runs by Amy McGrath 

Its people donating not dem orgs, so they have no control over idiots throwing their money away, Johnson isn't nearly as known as MTG so they don't know who Barnes is.

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35 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said:

Its people donating not dem orgs, so they have no control over idiots throwing their money away, Johnson isn't nearly as known as MTG so they don't know who Barnes is.

Yeah but the party should have more sway in these un winnable races getting millions from rubes. They use act blue! There’s leverage there!

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12 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

 

If this election follows the trend, turnout projections I’ve calculated here show about 59% of voting eligible population, and about 135 million voters will vote in these midterms. 
 

 

the 2016 presidential election had 136.7 million voters, and 2020 had 158 million for reference. 2018 was about 83.4% of 2016 votes, this would be 85.4% of 2020 votes

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1 hour ago, CastletonSnob said:

Is it true that polls usually skew toward older voters?

No, and decent pollsters weigh by demographics which also includes urban/suburban/rural and educational attainment. 
 

The problem with polling is response/non-response bias from groups with low social trust. That is, white people with low educational attainment in the Midwest. 
 

Note that polls were mostly correct in 2018 so it is likely that trump himself drags out some hard to poll types making polls with him  on the ballot more difficult, or so the theory goes. 

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30 minutes ago, Anathema- said:

 

Verbatim what some of the more intelligent Texas voices I follow say on twitter and when you look at the stats it seems dead on.

According to this site, in 2014, only 28.3% of registered voters in Texas voted, and in 2018, 46.5% voted.

 

Here's a site that shows the turnout and voter registration figures of elections in Texas, from 1970 to 2022.

 

Quote
2014 - November (Gubernatorial)Registered Voters

14,025,441

Voting Age Population (VAP)

18,915,297

Percentage of VAP Registered

74.15%

Turnout

4,727,208

Percent of Turnout to Registered

33.70%

Percent of Turnout to VAP

24.99%
Quote

2018 - November (Gubernatorial)Registered Voters

15,793,257

Voting Age Population (VAP)

19,900,980

Percentage of VAP Registered

79.36%

Turnout

8,371,655

Percent of Turnout to Registered

53.01%

Percent of Turnout to VAP

42.07%

 

Consider that Texas has the 2nd fewest number of registered voters in the country. Only Wyoming has fewer.

 

WORLDPOPULATIONREVIEW.COM

 

And look at these documents that rank the states by voter turnout, from 1976 to 2020, before and after the National Voter Registration Act of 1993.

 

https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2022-04/voter-turnout-charts-4-19-21.pdf

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7 hours ago, CastletonSnob said:

Consider that according to Wikipedia, in the 2014 Texas gubernatorial election, only 33.7% of registered voters, and 25.0% of the voting age population voted, and in 2018, 53.01% of registered voters, and 42.07% of the voting age population voted.

Texas isn't a red state. It's a non-voting state.

Illegal aliens can't vote. 

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