mclumber1 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 lol at Russia if Sweden and Finland join NATO. They would have done this to themselves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Thread on one person's analysis so far: Full text: Some very early impressions of the last two days. It's an operation with maximalist war aims, and Moscow's thinking on this war seems to have been colored by war optimism. It looked as though Russian forces were expecting a quicker UKR military collapse and easier gains. 1/ Early campaign to knock out Ukrainian air defenses and air force had mixed results, Russian aerospace forces aren't particularly practiced at SEAD or DEAD. Most of the strikes in the opening phase were via cruise missiles. UKR air force still has some aircraft up. 2/ A brazen heliborne assault to take Hostomel airport with a small airborne element was a puzzling move. I doubt the goal was to land more airborne at a contested airport easily covered by artillery and MLRS. Likely they expected to hold out for ground reinforcements. 3/ So far we've seen only a fraction of the Russian force arrayed for the operation. Unclear if Russian forces reached initial objectives, but best estimate is they expected more rapid gains & less resistance. 4/ Russian forces seem to be avoiding use of massed fires, except maybe around Kharkiv, focusing on trying to make a speedy advance. Expect they will revert to much larger use of fires when frustrated. Not seeing much in the way of cyber and less EW effects than many anticipated. 5/ Russian forces are mainly sticking to the road network (as in 2014-2015). Early advances made by recon troops, but driving along roads left support units open to ambushes. Already signs of urban warfare and firefights in cities. 6/ There has been heavy fighting around Kharkiv and in Symi. Russian forces tried to advance past Okhtyrka, and it looks like they're attempting to go around Kharkiv. There is also an advance west of Symi to Konotop. This is a very incomplete picture. 7/ Russian forces entered from Belarus and went through Chernobyl exclusion zone to Dymer. Early signs of fighting on outskirts of Kyiv in Obolonskyi distict today. They're clearly going for the capital. 8/ Main breakout appears to be in the south from Crimea. Russian forces pushed to Kherson, and Melitopol. There's sustained fighting for Kherson still and around Antonovsky bridge. Some early signs they may have entered Mykolaiv, but probably just a recon element. 9/ Russian forces retain significant quantitative and qualitative superiority. UKR forces have demonstrated resolve & resilience. Russian conventional overmatch, such as it is, may not translate into attaining their maximalist political aims. This is just the opening of the war. End 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kal-El814 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: Why is he tweeting like an old timey telegram operator? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BloodyHell Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 This shit is fucking heartbreaking. Im not even sure how to process it yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Just now, ManUtdRedDevils said: Someone online looked more closely, and it might be the shell of a cluster bomb of some kind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkStar189 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, CitizenVectron said: Jesus EDIT - Somehow, the man survived: That is so fucked up, but also so awesome that a Russian tank still couldn't kill a civilian in a car. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Though possibly Russian, I would imagine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, ManUtdRedDevils said: That appears to be a cluster bomb dispersal dispenser. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 31 minutes ago, Kal-El814 said: Why is he tweeting like an old timey telegram operator? I mean he does work for Reuters 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comet Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 The cameraman did their best but easy on the zooming Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silentbob Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: I did’Nazi this statement ever happening from them, but here we are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 I forgot who cared about this dumb contest but here you go 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Honestly we all should join this cause and block Facebook 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, CitizenVectron said: Russia threatening retaliation against Sweden and Finland if they attempt to join NATO: Putin really is off his fucking rocker if he's seriously considering hitting EU countries, even if they're not in NATO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, CitizenVectron said: US intel: "Russia's entire army is surrounding Ukraine and Putin says he wants to take the country back." Entire rest of the world: "What do you think that means?" 1 hour ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: Of all people US intelligence looks good for a change. Maybe they shouldn’t have squandered their reputation on fiascos and straight up bullshit like the Iraq war! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneticBlueprint Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jason said: Putin really is off his fucking rocker if he's seriously considering hitting EU countries, even if they're not in NATO. I think this would likely trigger a response from the US even if they're not NATO countries. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comet Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: I feel like this could be geolocated no? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris- Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Comet said: I feel like this could be geolocated no? I would assume (or at least hope) there was a substantial delay between when it was filmed and when it was posted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finaljedi Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Comet said: I feel like this could be geolocated no? I would imagine they're smart enough to not stick around there when they posted that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercury33 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 At this point I now hold Ukrainians in the same regard as Spartans. (Minus the young boy stuff) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.