Jason Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Also apparently one of the dissenting judges is DeWine's son. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anathema- Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 A lot of the map nerds on twitter think it’s just posturing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The Countless, Confusing, Sometimes Contradictory Takeaways Of The 2021-22 Redistricting Cycle | FiveThirtyEight FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM There is no universal takeaway from the 2021-22 redistricting cycle. Here are a few things the article points out: Quote Democrats have gained seats based on partisanship alone … but Republicans have gained when you factor in which party currently holds the seat. The House map’s long-term Republican bias has lessened somewhat … but it’s still not an even playing field. Swing seats are getting redrawn to be safer for Democrats … but light-red seats are also being redrawn to be safer for Republicans. Quote However, when you take incumbency into account, it’s actually Republicans who should gain ground in the short term. By my calculations, redistricting has put Republicans in a good position to flip as many as three seats in the 2022 midterms. On the other hand, I calculate that redistricting has put Democrats in position to gain one seat, lose one seat or stand pat.3 This seems counterintuitive, but it’s really not. Democrats are coming off a pretty strong election cycle in 2020 — one that gave them a House majority despite the fact that the median congressional district has a partisan lean of R+2.3. In other words, Democrats are overexposed on the congressional map as it stands today, with 24 Democratic incumbents occupying Republican-leaning seats. (By contrast, only seven Republican incumbents hold Democratic-leaning seats.) Quote The biggest takeaway has instead been the continued disappearance of competitive seats. And why we still don't know the overall effects, for pretty obvious reasons: Quote And then there’s the fact that even those 26 states may not be done with redistricting. Lawsuits over the new maps loom in at least eight of those states, and one other state’s map (Ohio’s) has already been overturned. Just under two-thirds of the districts whose lines are being challenged (73 out of 110) were drawn by Republicans, too, so there could be substantial upside for Democrats here — enough that some analysts believe the House’s Republican bias will disappear completely. It’s too early to know for sure, though, so if there’s one piece of advice we can give you, it’s not to draw any conclusions about redistricting until the ink is dry on the last state’s map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anathema- Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Three trump judges just flipped an Alabama seat to blue for the next ten years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 hour ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 hour ago, Jason said: I’m quite sure lil Dave wasserman is just upset as can be that the democrats would do a gerrymander Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 hours ago, Jason said: Can we get the sicko face as a reaction? Get rid of the updoot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Gov. Tom Wolf vetoes Pennsylvania congressional map sent to him by Republicans WWW.SPOTLIGHTPA.ORG In his veto message, the Democratic governor said the map failed “the test of fundamental fairness.” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 19 hours ago, Jason said: Gov. Tom Wolf vetoes Pennsylvania congressional map sent to him by Republicans WWW.SPOTLIGHTPA.ORG In his veto message, the Democratic governor said the map failed “the test of fundamental fairness.” Elections matter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Pennsylvania brings good need for dems. And ny gerrymanders big 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 Here for the hochulmander Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Shamelessly stolen from @PaladinSolo in the Discord: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Theres also a chance the court will draw the maps themselves if the GOP doesn't do what they ask which could lead to an even bigger dem gain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 We love to see it folks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 4 hours ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: We love to see it folks But this seems very unfair, the red part of Pennsylvania is plainly much bigger than the blue part. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ricofoley Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Dems getting at least partial control of the PA legislature would be pretty huge in terms of preventing possible electoral college chicanery in 2024. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 I know Tennessee doesn't matter too much in the grand scheme of the House, but the governor today signed a bill that gerrymandered one of the two dem districts in the state out of existence: The 5th District (yellow here) used to look like this... I'm now represented by some dude in District 6, which is... not really equipped to represent an urban area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, CayceG said: I know Tennessee doesn't matter too much in the grand scheme of the House, but the governor today signed a bill that gerrymandered one of the two dem districts in the state out of existence: The 5th District (yellow here) used to look like this... I'm now represented by some dude in District 6, which is... not really equipped to represent an urban area. This is a good before and after. The Democrat went from representing a +17 D district to a +15 R district. What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State - Tennessee | FiveThirtyEight PROJECTS.FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections and beyond Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TyphoidHater Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 You would not BELIEVE the amount of whining in upstate NY over the proposed redistricting. It's glorious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 7, 2022 Author Share Posted February 7, 2022 Posting here because it’s got to do with redistricting. looks like racial gerrymanders are back on the menu folks. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 don't you shitlords dare do misogynies against Girl Queen #RuthkandaForever though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TyphoidHater Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 I hope Ginsburg is burning 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Step 1: Gerrymandering is completely legal as long as it's not based on racial grounds Step 2: Gerrymandering is legal on racial grounds Am I missing anything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 19 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Step 1: Gerrymandering is completely legal as long as it's not based on racial grounds Step 2: Gerrymandering is legal on racial grounds Am I missing anything? Democratic gerrymandering is illegal because reasons Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 Worth noting that the federalist society was formed in reaction to the Warren court Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted February 9, 2022 Author Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 On 2/9/2022 at 3:59 PM, b_m_b_m_b_m said: 13 hours ago, Jason said: Thanks for the update, Jason. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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