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Россия invades Україна | UPDATE (13 June 2024) - US and Ukraine sign bilateral security agreement for long-term supply and cooperation


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ISW analysis for 13 March 2022:

 

 
WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

Russian forces again conducted few ground offensives on March 13, only securing new terrain in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces predominantly took measures to restore combat readiness and regrouped

 

 

Quote

Russian forces again conducted few ground offensives on March 13, only securing new terrain in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces predominantly took measures to restore combat readiness and regrouped combat units as of noon local time on March 13.[1] Russian forces continue to assemble reinforcements and attempt to improve logistical support in both the Kyiv and southern operational directions. Russian forces may intend to resume larger-scale attacks on both axes of advance in the coming week, but will likely take longer to (or may never) cohere the combat power necessary to complete the encirclement of Kyiv.

 

Key Takeaways

 

  • Russian forces did not conduct offensive operations northwest of Kyiv for the third day in a row.
  • Russian forces did not conduct attacks toward northeastern Kyiv and prioritized reinforcing their lines of communication and logistics routes.
  • Russian and proxy forces successfully captured several towns north of Mariupol in Donetsk Oblast on March 13, the only offensive ground actions of the day.
  • Ukrainian protests in occupied Kherson are likely expanding.
  • Russia is diluting its international deployments in Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh to reinforce operations in Ukraine and pulling additional forces from Russia’s far east.
  • Ukrainian intelligence reported Russia will deploy preexisting pro-Assad Syrian units to Ukraine, in addition to previously announced plans to recruit new Syrian and Libyan mercenaries. These forces are unlikely to enable Russia to favorably change the balance of forces around Kyiv in the next week but may provide a longer-term pool of low-quality replacements.
  • Russian ballistic missiles killed 35 Ukrainians at the Yavoriv military training center near Poland in a likely effort to interdict Western aid deliveries to Ukraine—following up on the Kremlin’s March 12 announcement it will treat international aid shipments as military targets.

 

 

DraftUkraineCoTMarch13,2022.png

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3 hours ago, mclumber1 said:

China is wet dreaming of all of that wide open, sparsely populated land in Eastern Siberia that is just being begged to be annexed from a weakened Russia.  It's in China's best interests to see the Russians receive a humiliating defeat in Ukraine, and a subsequent dissolution of the Russian government and military.  

 

Probably not going to happen of course, but Xi can dream. 

 

In no way does the Chinese leadership even remotely "dream" of this in any way, shape, or form.


There is absolutely zero reason for them to physically control any more territory than they already do (sans Taiwan), especially when that would involve confrontation with a still nuclear-armed Russia.  They can accomplish the same resource extraction goals from Siberia through economic means.

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Just now, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

In no way does the Chinese leadership even remotely "dream" of this in any way, shape, or form.


There is absolutely zero reason for them to physically control any more territory than they already do (sans Taiwan), especially when that would involve confrontation with a still nuclear-armed Russia.  They can accomplish the same resource extraction goals from Siberia through economic means.

Russia can look on to Africa to see what their new fate looks like 

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BY FAR my favorite take on the conflict that I've seen thus far came from a poster on ResetERA who claimed that this was an "inter-Orthodox civil war" that was being fueled by a Western "Catholic/Protestant alliance".

 

For evidence of this "Western Christian Denomination Conspiracy", he pointed out that practically all of the fighting is taking place in the predominantly Orthodox part of the country while the predominantly Greek Catholic part remains relatively unscathed.

 

I, for one, am eagerly awaiting for His Holiness Pope Francis I to declare a Holy Crusade against the satanic Orthodox heresy and end the abomination of 1059 once and for all!

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31 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

BY FAR my favorite take on the conflict that I've seen thus far came from a poster on ResetERA who claimed that this was an "inter-Orthodox civil war" that was being fueled by a Western "Catholic/Protestant alliance".

 

For evidence of this "Western Christian Denomination Conspiracy", he pointed out that practically all of the fighting is taking place in the predominantly Orthodox part of the country while the predominantly Greek Catholic part remains relatively unscathed.

 

I, for one, am eagerly awaiting for His Holiness Pope Francis I to declare a Holy Crusade against the satanic Orthodox heresy and end the abomination of 1059 once and for all!

 

Can Pope Benedict be Pro Consul of the Eastern Legions? 

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1 hour ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

 

Ugh.

 

The "European" framing is utterly unnecessary and implicitly carries racist baggage.  It's exactly that type of garbage framing that causes the Global South to justifiably look at this conflict and shrug their shoulders in complete and total indifference from their perspective.

 

That guy should know better.

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30 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

Ugh.

 

The "European" framing is utterly unnecessary and implicitly carries racist baggage.  It's exactly that type of garbage framing that causes the Global South to justifiably look at this conflict and shrug their shoulders in indifference from their perspective.

 

That guy should know better.

 

I agree. I posted that from my bed this morning and was going to add "might as well come out and say 'white people apartments destroyed.'"

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I think we can all agree that this conflict would not have generated nearly this level of condemnation if it weren’t happening in a “white” “European” nation. And as much as I want to run into the streets and scream about it, I can’t help but feel hypocritical as an American. While Iraqi and Afghani kids spent their teen years fighting to feed themselves while dodging shrapnel, I spent my teen years shooting pretend Afghans and Iraqis on my Xbox.

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14 minutes ago, Uaarkson said:

I think we can all agree that this conflict would not have generated nearly this level of condemnation if it weren’t happening in a “white” “European” nation. And as much as I want to run into the streets and scream about it, I can’t help but feel hypocritical as an American. While Iraqi and Afghani kids spent their teen years fighting to feed themselves while dodging shrapnel, I spent my teen years shooting pretend Afghans and Iraqis on my Xbox.

 

The important thing is that you fully recognize the moral conundrum that those of us in the Global North -- ESPECIALLY those of us in the United States -- have when discussing this conflict in light of the equally devastating atrocities our governments have committed in "Brown People Countries" since...well, forever.

  • True 1
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10 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

The important thing is that you fully recognize the moral conundrum that those of us in the Global North -- ESPECIALLY those of us in the United States -- have when discussing this conflict in light of the equally devastating atrocities our governments have committed in "Brown People Countries" since...well, forever.

 

And that it's okay to be against this war as an American while recognizing that the US did a similar thing (in terms of destroying people's lives, etc).

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Update on my friends:

 

Most are not being specific with where they have fled to. 

One family is in Romania. One family is in Germany. One other family and a friend with his girlfriend are bouncing around western Ukraine. Others in the east have gone to smaller villages near their respective families to get away from the cities. There isn't much action out in the countryside. 

 

The summer camp we would go to every year has transitioned now into being a refugee center. They're set up for it--they have a kitchen, bath houses, and bunk rooms. 

The staff at this summer camp are loving and generous and are always immeasurably hospitable to us when we go there. Now they're turning that hospitality and love back to their own people. It warms my heart. 

 

They also have a GoFundMe set up to help support the effort financially, if anyone is interested in helping Krayina Mrii. 

 

63928379_1646974906529034_r.png
WWW.GOFUNDME.COM

Hello, this GoFundMe is processed from Canada for the Dreamland Summer… Olga Lacasse needs your support for Summer camp turned into accomodation for refugees

 

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mcdonalds-russia-chains-fan-comp-1.jpg?q
NYPOST.COM

A Russian man was not lovin’ it that McDonald’s was about to shutter it stores in the country amid the invasion of Ukraine.

You lose enough in life and it can make you do desperate things. Maybe this will be the fellow that can get to Putin and 'talk some sense into him'.

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5 minutes ago, Derek said:
mcdonalds-russia-chains-fan-comp-1.jpg?q
NYPOST.COM

A Russian man was not lovin’ it that McDonald’s was about to shutter it stores in the country amid the invasion of Ukraine.

You lose enough in life and it can make you do desperate things. Maybe this will be the fellow that can get to Putin and 'talk some sense into him'.

 

The one man who needs the consequences of the sanctions. 

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5 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

 

What's the bet on if MGT or other GOP crazies yell at him during it? I believe he's also addressing Canadian Parliament tomorrow or Wednesday.

 

I'm sure they'll be muted on the house side while he's speaking. Can Pelosi have the Sgt at arms escort them out for disruptive behavior?

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2 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

The important thing is that you fully recognize the moral conundrum that those of us in the Global North -- ESPECIALLY those of us in the United States -- have when discussing this conflict in light of the equally devastating atrocities our governments have committed in "Brown People Countries" since...well, forever.

A good friend of mine is Somali and lost her fiance' in 2011 during one of these wars over seas. All of this is very triggering for her and she's experiencing a lot of emotions regarding this war and how it's been covered by the media.

 

2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said:

 

And that it's okay to be against this war as an American while recognizing that the US did a similar thing (in terms of destroying people's lives, etc).

ESPECIALLY if you were an American who was against the Iraq War from jump... like a lot of us.

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