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BO Report: Toy Story 4 underperforms domestically ($118 mil), breaks record worldwide UPDATE: Actuals put it at $120 mil


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https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-story-4-opening-weekend-box-office-childs-play-1202635964/

 

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4TH UPDATE Sunday AM writethru, following Saturday 7:35 AM update Refresh for chart and more analysis: The opening for Disney’s Toy Story 4 is still lower than anticipated when this weekend started going from $136M on Friday midday to $123.7M yesterday morning to a Disney-reported $118M. Industry estimates are spotting it at $119.5M. Global is a $238M opening record for an animated movie, higher than Incredibles 2‘s $235.8M, and that’s fantastic and bodes well for a $900M to $1 billion-plus final worldwide total.

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2019&wknd=25&p=.htm

 

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Crazy when nearly 120 million is under performing! Will be interesting to see how it holds up over the next few weeks. WOM has been strong.

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23 minutes ago, sblfilms said:

Crazy when nearly 120 million is under performing! Will be interesting to see how it holds up over the next few weeks. WOM has been strong.

I was worried if End Game was going to make Disney set higher than normal expectations for other projects. Maybe it did, maybe it didn’t. But $120million is pretty damn strong. 

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28 minutes ago, Spawn_of_Apathy said:

I was worried if End Game was going to make Disney set higher than normal expectations for other projects. Maybe it did, maybe it didn’t. But $120million is pretty damn strong. 

 

According to BOM, Disney placed their estimates at $140. BOM went with $160.

 

Incredibles 2 made $180 (on Father's Day weekend, though). With 9 years of inflation, I really felt it would do better than $8 million more than 3. 

 

But with a great CinemaScore, still the highest opening gross of the series, and a worldwide record (that's really the story), it'll make all the money it deserves to make.

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1 hour ago, SaysWho? said:

 

According to BOM, Disney placed their estimates at $140. BOM went with $160.

 

Incredibles 2 made $180 (on Father's Day weekend, though). With 9 years of inflation, I really felt it would do better than $8 million more than 3. 

 

But with a great CinemaScore, still the highest opening gross of the series, and a worldwide record (that's really the story), it'll make all the money it deserves to make.

A lot of industry folks are questioning Disney’s decision not to date it for Father’s Day.

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Given how poor most of the summer has been, and how well this one was reviewed, I was certainly in the camp of people overestimating it's potential performance. Still, with the right multiplier and a similar international BO as its predecessor, it seems it could still hit that precious $1B WW total, so I think Disney will be fine.

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I don’t think this is really underperforming. Disney probably screwed up not putting it out Father’s Day Weekend and I remember last years Incredibles 2 being really hyped. This had some hype but not on the same level. I think it did quite well. 

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I had no idea this was even out, and I like across the street from a fucking movie theater! I'm sure there's been plenty of advertising, but the only thing that's reached me was that Forky FunkoPop which I thought was a joke. Movie was good, though.

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On 6/27/2019 at 7:44 AM, GoldenTongue said:

*remembers when $115M opening weekend set records*

 

Christ, I’m getting old. 

What brought the passage of time into stark relief for me was the realization that Toy Story 3 was released nearly a decade a ago.

 

I honestly thought that it hadn't been more than 5 years.

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35 minutes ago, SFLUFAN said:

What brought the passage of time into stark relief for me was the realization that Toy Story 3 was released nearly a decade a ago.

 

I honestly thought that it hadn't been more than 5 years.

 

Same. I honestly can't believe it came out in 2010. I was like: "we're already getting a Toy Story 4?" but nope that shit was 9 years ago. 

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1 hour ago, Greatoneshere said:

 

Same. I honestly can't believe it came out in 2010. I was like: "we're already getting a Toy Story 4?" but nope that shit was 9 years ago. 

 

Only two years less than the time between TS2 and 3.

 

Side note: when I was a kid and TS2 released, my assumption was that every other Pixar movie would be a Toy Story sequel. So when Monsters released, there was a Finding Nemo trailer. And then Incredibles, and then Cars, and I'm like, "Huh, where's my TS3 wtf?" :lol: 

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45 minutes ago, sblfilms said:

I would be totally down for Pixar to revisit Toy Story once a decade.

 

After 4, yes. I didn't say that after 3. After 4, it's clear to me that when they say, "We'll only do it if we think the story is worthwhile," they're serious.

 

Knowing my luck, 5 will be Brave quality and this post will make me look like an idiot.

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