CitizenVectron Posted April 29, 2022 Author Share Posted April 29, 2022 Just now, Uaarkson said: It would be nice to know what nations they’re talking about without having to google a bunch of fucking flags lol. I mean, they did say "Slovak" and "Polish" in the context of those flags. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 29, 2022 Author Share Posted April 29, 2022 In some alternate universe we laugh about how now Ukraine is invading Transnistria to stop the Russians there. Then all of the sudden Ukraine takes the rest of Moldova, and moves on Berlin and Paris, claiming that Russian sympathizers are secretly embedded in the government. And it's too late to stop them, because Ukraine now has all the weapons in the world and every single person in the country is mobilized, and now they are taking boats to North America. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 29, 2022 Author Share Posted April 29, 2022 Lavrov is appearing to walk back some of the "this is a war with NATO" comments from the past week, saying today that Russia is not at war with NATO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 29, 2022 Author Share Posted April 29, 2022 WARNING: This video shows Russian troops dying at the 1:32 mark. The reason I am sharing it is because it's footage from some kind of civilian drone that literally flies above soldiers, stays still, and then just drops a bomb on them. At the 1:32 mark it drops a bomb into the open sunroof of a car that Russian soldiers take shelter in (to escape whatever is firing at them, since they apparently don't see or hear the drone). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 Drones (even cheap civilian versions like that) are game changers when it comes to modern warfare. It's crazy to think that a piece of consumer gadgetry has the power to absolutely devastate lightly armored personnel and vehicles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skillzdadirecta Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 33 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Lavrov is appearing to walk back some of the "this is a war with NATO" comments from the past week, saying today that Russia is not at war with NATO. Damn right he did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: Slovakia may be giving all of their MiGs to Ukraine in exchange for Polish air patrols: Crazy to see the nations of central and eastern Europe working together like this. They have the most to lose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 29, 2022 Author Share Posted April 29, 2022 This probably had something to do with Lavrov walking WWIII comments back: China urges restraint after Russia warns of World War III WWW.NEWSWEEK.COM The Chinese Foreign Ministry said that "all parties should...support dialogue and negotiation to prevent the expansion and prolongation of conflicts." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 47 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: This probably had something to do with Lavrov walking WWIII comments back: China urges restraint after Russia warns of World War III WWW.NEWSWEEK.COM The Chinese Foreign Ministry said that "all parties should...support dialogue and negotiation to prevent the expansion and prolongation of conflicts." "World War III would be incredibly bad for our economic interests, so let's not do that, shall we?" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 WHO WANTS TO SEE A CHECHEN UNIT COMMANDER GET TURNED INTO A FINE RED MIST WHILE MAKING A TIK-TOK VIDEO?!?!? Spoiler OLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silentbob Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 Can’t get myself to watch it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 29, 2022 Share Posted April 29, 2022 My sister's reaction to the video: "Welp that's the way his cookie crumbled! And good riddance!" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Littleronin Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said: My sister's reaction to the video: "Welp that's the way his cookie crumbled! And good riddance!" I'm not one for watching snuff videos but all I could hear in my head was the old Unreal Tournament announcer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneticBlueprint Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 1 hour ago, silentbob said: Can’t get myself to watch it I can understand not wanting to watch it for a myriad of reasons but if gore is the main one there's really nothing to worry about in that video. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silentbob Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, GeneticBlueprint said: I can understand not wanting to watch it for a myriad of reasons but if gore is the main one there's really nothing to worry about in that video. ok I watched and you were right. TikTok BOOM!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skillzdadirecta Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 6 hours ago, silentbob said: ok I watched and you were right. TikTok BOOM!!! Honestly it played like an old Loony Tunes cartoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Just another major industrial malfunction in Russia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 ISW analysis for 29 April 2022: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29 | Institute for the Study of War WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG Russian forces made limited advances west of Severodonetsk on April 29 but remain stalled south of Izyum. Ukrainian forces in eastern Ukraine are likely successfully conducting a maneuver defense rather than holding static positions, redeploying Quote Russian forces made limited advances west of Severodonetsk on April 29 but remain stalled south of Izyum. Ukrainian forces in eastern Ukraine are likely successfully conducting a maneuver defense rather than holding static positions, redeploying mechanized reserves to resist attempted Russian advances. Concentrated Russian artillery is enabling minor Russian advances, but Ukrainian positions remain strong. Limited Ukrainian counterattacks around Kharkiv city may additionally force Russian forces to redeploy units intended for the Izyum axis to hold these positions. Key Takeaways Russian forces likely intend to leave a minimal force in Mariupol necessary to block Ukrainian positions in Azovstal and prevent partisan actions and are deploying as much combat power as possible to support offensive operations elsewhere. Ukrainian forces are successfully slowing Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine, which secured only minor advances west of Severodonetsk and did not advance on the Izyum front in the last 24 hours. Ukrainian counterattacks in Kharkiv are unlikely to develop into a major counteroffensive in the coming days but may force Russia to redeploy forces intended for the Izyum axis to hold their defensive positions around the city. Ukrainian intelligence continued to warn that Russian false flag attacks in Transnistria are intended to draw Transnistria into the war in some capacity and coerce Moldova to abandon pro-European policies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Poland is looking into sending its T-91 tanks now, if Germany will replace them with Leopard-2s: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Ukrainian soldiers evacuate a town in the Donbas ahead of the Russian advance: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Signifyin(g)Monkey Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 9 hours ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said: ISW analysis for 29 April 2022: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 29 | Institute for the Study of War WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG Russian forces made limited advances west of Severodonetsk on April 29 but remain stalled south of Izyum. Ukrainian forces in eastern Ukraine are likely successfully conducting a maneuver defense rather than holding static positions, redeploying On the Russian side, I'm hearing the plan is to ultimately divide Ukraine along the Dnieper River, while Odessa and the Black Sea coast become Russian territory. The Russian partisans are really pushing the 'we don't want to take over all of Ukraine, we just want the Eastern territories and a Russia-friendly rump state in the West' line hard. It's half of their explanation for the lackluster progress. The other half is their claim that they're not employing 'blitzkrieg warfare', but are focusing on encircling the Ukrainians while minimizing civilian casualties. (And that, of course, the Western media isn't portraying things accurately) So we're not seeing a dysfunctional RU military campaign--we're seeing 'restraint.' @CayceG @Commissar SFLUFAN. How much do you buy the line that Russia's been holding back, and that a divided Ukraine is the real goal, not total conquest? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 I mean the Russian Blitzkrieg ended in failure once it hit resistance and they couldn't get resupplied and just got wrecked in the north, they're not holding back, they've just adjusted their goals to be realistic, and even those are probably not going to happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 3 hours ago, Signifyin(g)Monkey said: On the Russian side, I'm hearing the plan is to ultimately divide Ukraine along the Dnieper River, while Odessa and the Black Sea coast become Russian territory. The Russian partisans are really pushing the 'we don't want to take over all of Ukraine, we just want the Eastern territories and a Russia-friendly rump state in the West' line hard. It's half of their explanation for the lackluster progress. The other half is their claim that they're not employing 'blitzkrieg warfare', but are focusing on encircling the Ukrainians while minimizing civilian casualties. (And that, of course, the Western media isn't portraying things accurately) So we're not seeing a dysfunctional RU military campaign--we're seeing 'restraint.' @CayceG @Commissar SFLUFAN. How much do you buy the line that Russia's been holding back, and that a divided Ukraine is the real goal, not total conquest? I will begin this by saying I'm no expert. All of this is guesswork on my part. I think Russia's initial goal was two-fold: 1. Take Kyiv and oust Zelenskiy and 2. Reinforce the Donbas and solidify control between there and Crimea. Clearly, Russia has been embarrassed with their performance here. Kyiv hasn't fallen. But they have seized the south, including Kherson, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, and the "land bridge to Crimea." Like Paladin said, I think that Russia has recalibrated their goals in light of the failures. Looking at how the invasion has progressed, I think that Russia's actions could appear to some to be restraint. Outside of Kherson, Kyiv, and Mariupol, they have largely avoided cities. Now, because of this, there has been less civilian casualties. But I think it wasn't for humanitarian reason or restraint, but rather the calculation that it would have tied up too many troops and take up too much time. The goal required speed. What we saw--especially in the north--WAS a blitzkrieg. There was a rush to Kyiv that ultimately failed as it met much stiffer resistance than it expected. Part of Russia's failings are indeed due to dysfunction with logistics, command, and corruption, but a lot of their assumptions were based on incorrect ideas about Ukrainian pacifism and non-resistance. That didn't happen. So I think the recalibrated plan is to essentially capture as much land in the east as possible and hold what they have. This is proving to be exceptionally difficult and they likely won't capture substantially more land than they have now. While they may have ambitions beyond what they currently possess, I think southern Ukraine from Crimea to the Dneiper River and over to Donbas is what Russia is looking to hold. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 Possibility that Gerasimov himself was hit in Izyum. Rumours from Belgorod that he was medivac'd out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 UN brokered a deal to get civilians out of the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol, where the last Ukrainian marines are holding out. The evacuation has started. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 Am I correct to say this is something like Eisenhower being hit by the Germans in WWII? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 Hmm. Yes. Lavrov compares Ukraine's Zelenskyy to Hitler, who also 'had Jewish blood' WWW.HAARETZ.COM *** 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skillzdadirecta Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: Am I correct to say this is something like Eisenhower being hit by the Germans in WWII? A friend of mine compared it to Colin Powel being hit during the Iraq War. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted May 1, 2022 Author Share Posted May 1, 2022 Ukraine is claiming not to have injured him...but that they killed 200 officers/staff (including a general) in the strike. Yikes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skillzdadirecta Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: Ukraine is claiming not to have injured him...but that they killed 200 officers/staff (including a general) in the strike. Yikes. So he's not injured... he's dead? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted May 2, 2022 Share Posted May 2, 2022 Jomini of the West's intelligence briefing for Days 65-66: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.