Amazatron Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Eagles beat the crap out of a massively overachieving Giants team. All the casuals and the media will pick them as winners, but the Vegas line being set at -2.5 tells you all you need to know. It's a pick-em and will be a brutal battle between the two most physical teams in the NFL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Both conference games should be fun and competitive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsolutSurgen Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 If you look at some of the ELO models, Eagles are 2.5 point favourites (which is same as Vegas)-- which gives them a 60% chance of winning -- i.e. it is 50% more likely the Eagles will win than the 49ers. Same method had them as 9-point favourites (~80% win rate) vs. the Giants. 2.5 points is not a "pick'em" scenario. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amazatron Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 18 minutes ago, AbsolutSurgen said: If you look at some of the ELO models, Eagles are 2.5 point favourites (which is same as Vegas)-- which gives them a 60% chance of winning -- i.e. it is 50% more likely the Eagles will win than the 49ers. Same method had them as 9-point favourites (~80% win rate) vs. the Giants. 2.5 points is not a "pick'em" scenario. You get 3 points for home field advantage, so it is saying the teams are even. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsolutSurgen Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Amazatron said: You get 3 points for home field advantage, so it is saying the teams are even. Probably closer to 1.5 on average in 2023. Anyways, the game is in Philly, and a 60% chance of winning isn't a pick'em. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 49ers' Charles Omenihu arrested after domestic incident WWW.ESPN.COM 49ers defensive lineman Charles Omenihu was arrested on suspicion of misdemeanor domestic violence. Monday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlwaysDyingX Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 On 1/23/2023 at 10:05 AM, PaladinSolo said: As a side note, pretty sure SF ended Dak's career as a starter last night, wonder who they draft next and then prop up for a decade of mediocrity. Well they can trade for Purdy since Lance will be the 49ers starter next year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, BasemntDweller2 said: Well they can trade for Purdy since Lance will be the 49ers starter next year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlwaysDyingX Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said: Small sample size but Purdy is a good game manager. They had that in Jimmy G and still drafted Lance. If Purdy were to win a super bowl (spoiler, they won't) then they would have to deem him the starter. But as of today, not a chance in hell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 41 minutes ago, BasemntDweller2 said: Small sample size but Purdy is a good game manager. They had that in Jimmy G and still drafted Lance. If Purdy were to win a super bowl (spoiler, they won't) then they would have to deem him the starter. But as of today, not a chance in hell. That game manager was statistically the best QB in the league since he took over.... Hes also basically free for the next 3 years, saving millions to fill any holes or re-sign talent in other positions, lol. Rumor is he already has the job for next year, so again, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amazatron Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 hours ago, BasemntDweller2 said: Small sample size but Purdy is a good game manager. They had that in Jimmy G and still drafted Lance. If Purdy were to win a super bowl (spoiler, they won't) then they would have to deem him the starter. But as of today, not a chance in hell. Purdy already has more pocket presence, awareness, and elusiveness to extend plays than Jimmy ever had or will have. Based on play calling, Shanahan trusts him as a passer more than Jimmy and Trey. He will be the starter next year even though they will say it is a "competition". The fact that you suggest they would trade Purdy on one of the most ridiculously friendly rookie QB contracts says you don't really understand anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Lance is absolutely gone next year. He will be traded for a mid-rounder of something. A cheap QB is the most valuable asset in football. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggie Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, thewhyteboar said: Lance is absolutely gone next year. He will be traded for a mid-rounder of something. A cheap QB is the most valuable asset in football. Lance comes cheap also. I say they are keeping them both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckFly Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 On 1/22/2023 at 6:02 PM, Biggie said: All those little shots @BuckFly was making about my Falcons seem to have turned his Bills into the very same thing. Not true...the Bills were never up by 28. Also you and I have very, very, VERY different definitions of "same thing." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, BuckFly said: Not true...the Bills were never up by 28. Also you and I have very, very, VERY different definitions of "same thing." “we got throttled from the jump!” is not the flex you think it is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckFly Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, sblfilms said: “we got throttled from the jump!” is not the flex you think it is It is in comparison to the Falcons and part of the point of the response of what Biggie was bringing up and what I had previously brought up in our back and forth. I'm sorry if you missed some of it and some football down in Houston, SB, but that was the goings on between Biggie and me. All good, though. The better team won on Sunday. Better offense, defense and coaching. However, at 14-4 I am far from wringing my hands over my team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggie Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 48 minutes ago, BuckFly said: Not true...the Bills were never up by 28. Falcons didn’t lose 4 Super Bowls consecutively. Checkmate 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckFly Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 13 minutes ago, Biggie said: Falcons didn’t lose 4 Super Bowls consecutively. Checkmate See, that's good! Nice, Biggie! It does nothing for getting you guys to .500, but it shows chutzpah!* (* just checked...does nothing to get them out of last place, either, but it is still very good) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckFly Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Oh and @Biggie the most important thing is, I love ya man. I honestly do. Nothing would be the same without you here. ...and if it bugged you, the comments I made...I am sorry. Same to you, @sblfilms Now LET'S GO...?...man...do I even have any team to root for? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 14 hours ago, Amazatron said: Purdy already has more pocket presence, awareness, and elusiveness to extend plays than Jimmy ever had or will have. Based on play calling, Shanahan trusts him as a passer more than Jimmy and Trey. He will be the starter next year even though they will say it is a "competition". The fact that you suggest they would trade Purdy on one of the most ridiculously friendly rookie QB contracts says you don't really understand anything. The really nuts thing is that Jimmy G was playing the best ball of his career before he got injured again, and Purdy still outshined him. Brock Purdy game manager... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 16 hours ago, Biggie said: Lance comes cheap also. I say they are keeping them both. Only reason i don't think they keep lance is that he seems to kinda be toxic, he wasn't happy when they re-signed Jimmy G, and just recently seemed to be hoping hes traded to the Titans. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 That's a joke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Niners willing to let legal process play out with Charles Omenihu WWW.ESPN.COM Kyle Shanahan said the Niners have decided to let the legal process play out with Charles Omenihu, who was arrested on suspicion of misdemeanor domestic violence earlier this week... 49ers wouldn’t kick the dude off the team even if there was a Ray Rice video showing the beat down. Lance got no value. You can’t recoup what you paid to get him. You could trade Purdy for multiple 1sts though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlwaysDyingX Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 On 1/23/2023 at 9:09 AM, PaladinSolo said: Ahhh yeah, just a couple days ago they were playing the Cowboys, if you came away from that game thinking the Eagles are a lock you're on something, SFs defense is real, their run game is real, and they are competent in the passing game, its time to get over the thought that Purdy is going to have a "rookie" game. I wouldn't expect a high scoring game next week. This aged well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaladinSolo Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 35 minutes ago, BasemntDweller2 said: This aged well I wouldn't call getting hurt a "rookie" game, lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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