CitizenVectron Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 Whatever Ukraine is doing, keep it up: 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 I really wonder how accurate these numbers are. But I imagine taking down two AWACS removed a huge amount of early warning coverage from the battlefield and this is the consequence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 1 hour ago, CayceG said: I really wonder how accurate these numbers are. But I imagine taking down two AWACS removed a huge amount of early warning coverage from the battlefield and this is the consequence. Hard to say, but usually the aircraft stuff is pretty accurate. Unfortunately most pilots survive, though I know last week it was confirmed at least one Su-34 pilot did not eject in time. To put these numbers in perspective, 11 x Su-34 jets is roughly 10% of their fleet. In one week. In the entire war they've lost 25% of their estimated Su-34 jets. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 Also, one possibility as to why this is happening is that the recently donated German patriot system was moved right to the southeast front—a theory is that Russia knows it's there, and is actually trying to take it out (while it takes out the jets hunting it). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 Russia's air force has really always sucked at SEAD. So I'm not surprised here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 1 minute ago, CayceG said: Russia's air force has really always sucked at SEAD. So I'm not surprised here. And their leadership is blind enough to just say "okay well 3 jets couldn't take it out, but maybe 7 will..." and keep throwing material at the problem. Obviously this has worked for Russia in the past in terms of men/artillery (throw a million men at an emplacement and eventually the defenders run out of bullets), but it's much harder to do with advanced tech that you can't replace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silentbob Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 23 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: And their leadership is blind enough to just say "okay well 3 jets couldn't take it out, but maybe 7 will..." and keep throwing material at the problem. Obviously this has worked for Russia in the past in terms of men/artillery (throw a million men at an emplacement and eventually the defenders run out of bullets), but it's much harder to do with advanced tech that you can't replace. So they’re literally copying Zapp Brannigan’s kill bot strategy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 48 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said: And their leadership is blind enough to just say "okay well 3 jets couldn't take it out, but maybe 7 will..." and keep throwing material at the problem. Obviously this has worked for Russia in the past in terms of men/artillery (throw a million men at an emplacement and eventually the defenders run out of bullets), but it's much harder to do with advanced tech that you can't replace. I think what you're missing here is that they ARE replacing them. 2023 saw three "batches" of Su-34s delivered to the Air Force. That's roughly 12, and those are from contracts signed back before the war started. They've signed contracts with the factory to produce more in 2024. So there doesn't appear to be a net loss of Fullbacks in the Russian Air Force. In the last three years there's been roughly 24-26 delivered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 The Ukrainians' explanation is that Russia is flying their jets much closer to the front lines right now because of their reliance on new glide bombs. So basically just the Russians being more risky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 That makes sense too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 Not the first NATO country to say something similar this week (though in this case just to do training). Is there something going on in the background leading towards "non-NATO" forces being deployed in Ukraine (perhaps to interior positions, or along Belarussian border, etc) to free up more Ukrainian units for combat? Unlikely, I would think. https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/under-the-right-conditions-canada-open-to-sending-noncombat-troops-to-ukraine-defence-minister-bill/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 This ship was only just commissioned in 2021 at a price of $65 million. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 6 Author Share Posted March 6 Russia just attempted to assassinate Zelensky with a ballistic missile, along with the Prime Minister of Greece. They were meeting in Odessa, and Zelenskyy's motorcade was targeted by a missile strike while he was 150m away from the Greek delegation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 ArticleV.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 Sweden joins NATO as 32nd member with document hand off in Washington - The Washington Post WWW.WASHINGTONPOST.COM Sweden became the 32nd member of the NATO military alliance with an official depositing of documents in Washington on Thursday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUFKAK Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 Russia really trying to fuck up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 8 Author Share Posted March 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 I've been to Russia by why tf would you be in Russia since the invasion began!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 8 Author Share Posted March 8 This follows Macron saying that deployment of French forces to Ukraine is possible if Russia achieves a breakthrough and approaches western Ukraine. I don't actually believe France would do anything, it's possible Poland would act unilaterally outside NATO in very specific circumstances. Either way, it can't be coincidence that multiple leaders are on record in the past week saying that western forces on the ground in Ukraine is possible depending on what Russia does. But what is the goal of these statements? Do deter Russia? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 Trump to meet with Hungary's leader, Viktor Orbán, continuing his embrace of autocrats APNEWS.COM Former President Donald Trump is meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, a conservative populist whose crackdowns in Hungary have sparked criticism that he's eroding that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 8 Author Share Posted March 8 11 minutes ago, Jason said: Trump to meet with Hungary's leader, Viktor Orbán, continuing his embrace of autocrats APNEWS.COM Former President Donald Trump is meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, a conservative populist whose crackdowns in Hungary have sparked criticism that he's eroding that... Probably providing the $90 million for his court bond. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 1 hour ago, CitizenVectron said: Probably providing the $90 million for his court bond. Nope that was a publicly-traded insurance company. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 9 Author Share Posted March 9 As if anyone needed another reason to say fuck the Pope: reuters.com WWW.REUTERS.COM 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted March 10 Share Posted March 10 2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: As if anyone needed another reason to say fuck the Pope: reuters.com WWW.REUTERS.COM Take your own advice. You're still fighting a 7,000yr war because someone said yo eat an apple homie. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.Vic20 Posted March 10 Share Posted March 10 Dear Frank, As Popes go, you're alright. Now shut the fuck up! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 Exclusive: Russia producing three times more artillery shells than US and Europe for Ukraine | CNN Politics T.CO Russia appears on track to produce nearly three times more artillery munitions than the US and Europe, a key advantage ahead of what is expected to be another Russian offensive in Ukraine later this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 Russia sacks naval commander after humiliating Black Sea losses WWW.FT.COM President Vladimir Putin fires Nikolai Evmenov and replaces him with commander of Northern Fleet following setbacks Quote Ukrainian officials who confirmed the change in Russia's navy leadership also told the FT that an attack by Ukraine at the weekend had critically damaged two Russian A-50 long-range radar detection planes at an aircraft repair facility in the southern port city of Taganrog. There was a large drone attack on this aircraft repair facility over the weekend, Ukraine is claiming to have "critically damaged" another two A-50 planes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commissar SFLUFAN Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 13 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: Exclusive: Russia producing three times more artillery shells than US and Europe for Ukraine | CNN Politics T.CO Russia appears on track to produce nearly three times more artillery munitions than the US and Europe, a key advantage ahead of what is expected to be another Russian offensive in Ukraine later this year. This doesn't surprise me in the least as neither the United States nor Europe has viewed artillery as being a major component of their military doctrines in decades while the Russians can just dust off the old Soviet artillery-dominant doctrine at will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 Breaking rule for second video above—Ukrainian drone hits target in Belgorod region of Russia. Additionally (and more importantly), video of an Il-76 plane going down over Russia: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 Ukrainian drone "fell on" Russia oil depot in Orel: Ukraine also hit an oil refinery in Russia. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 And finally: Ukraine’s defence intelligence chief says attacks on Russian ships are in preparation for Crimea operation WWW.PRAVDA.COM.UA Ukraine has undertaken successful attacks on Russian military ships and other Black Sea targets in preparation for a “major operation in Crimea”. I can't imagine any scenario where Ukraine lands significant number of troops in Crimea. They've pulled off commando raids. However, I do believe that if Ukraine managed to enter Crimea at any point in the war, the local population wouldn't be disappointed after the last 10 years of Russian occupation: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Aren't most people who live on Crimea ethnic/linguistically Russian? I thought that was one of the reasons why the 2014 invasion of the island was such a cakewalk for Russia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperSpreader Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 10 minutes ago, mclumber1 said: Aren't most people who live on Crimea ethnic/linguistically Russian? I thought that was one of the reasons why the 2014 invasion of the island was such a cakewalk for Russia. It's like Brexit. We want out! But not without the previous benefits! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CayceG Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 13 minutes ago, mclumber1 said: Aren't most people who live on Crimea ethnic/linguistically Russian? I thought that was one of the reasons why the 2014 invasion of the island was such a cakewalk for Russia. People need to get this out of their heads. Crimea was linguistically Russian, yes, but the cultural reality there was because life revolved around the Russian military bases on the peninsula. This would be like thinking Okinawa is culturally American. And it was a cakewalk in 2014 because of two things: 1. The Russians had absolute and complete surprise, and 2. Ukraine didn't want to resist with force because they wanted to prevent casualties, had hope for a diplomatic resolution, and frankly were caught off guard by the complete and utter betrayal. I remember a Ukrainian air base unit marched out to an attacking Russian unit who demanded they surrender the base. The Ukrainians carried the national flag and the unit flag which was the Soviet era flag as a show of the shared history. The Russian soldiers fired live rounds over the marching Ukrainians heads. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 Just a moment... WWW.POLITICO.COM $300 million in mostly ammunition (ATACMS, 155mm shells, etc) thanks to "savings" found in previous deals (i.e. they've decided to lower the value of previous drawdowns arbitrarily). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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