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CayceG

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Everything posted by CayceG

  1. I wanted to see how heyyoudvd was reacting over on reddit, but he's apparently been suspended Fuck crypto. A heavy hand with government intervention here is required to put the lid on crypto. It's worthless.
  2. Evidence of Ukraine using a US-supplied air launched decoy has shown up: That's this: ADM-160 MALD - Wikipedia EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG It likely was used to draw out air defenses.
  3. Shingles attacks your nerves and can cause temporary paralysis. It looks like that's what DiFi has experienced.
  4. Texas Mass Shooter Posted Neo-Nazi Content, FBI Document Reveals WWW.ROLLINGSTONE.COM A man who shot multiple people at an Allen, TX mall frequently posted white supremacist and neo-Nazi materials on social media, an FBI document says. Rolling Stone reports that the shooter in Allen was kicked out of the Army in 2008 due to mental health concerns. The Army said he shouldn't be around and didn't want him having a gun. He was an incel. His social media was steeped in neo-Nazi material. We should be doing far more to identify, track, and prevent these people from doing harm.
  5. Prigozhin has walked back his threats and is now stating that the Kremlin has promised him everything he needs. Also, he can't redeploy Wagner troops, and Kadyrov isn't risking his own (which he CAN redeploy). Essentially, bitching about bad conditions works.
  6. Libertarian Communism is simply "Anarchism." Welcome to the club! There aren't membership cards.
  7. Do you think Steven Crowder's beliefs differ from that of your average Saudi Sheikh?
  8. It's on my list of "10/10 Bangers" that I need to watch. I have every confidence I will rate it appropriately.
  9. That and their continued insistence that the Ukrainians are gaining footholds on the south side of the river from Kherson. That calls into question how ISW draws the line between footholds on territory vs. probing excursions.
  10. There are serious issues with ISW's conclusion that the drone strike on the Kremlin was a false flag. This is a compilation of twitter posts from Nathan Ruser, a researcher at ASPI Cyber Tech Policy who has done great work in the past identifying and documenting detention facilities in Xinjiang. This is the same for the UK MoD daily summaries, which are largely useless now. I understand why it is how it is, but not doing better really risks your credibility, and even if lazy journalists keep citing your work, once seriously observers start viewing your product as inaccurate and unreliable, it is really hard to come back from that. There's nothing wrong with saying 'no major developments today, continued fighting in x, y, z with some reports of limited greyzone gains by blah in y.' much better than trying to fill the space with speculation or feeling the need to prematurely assess breaking developments. The ISW intel summary of this is so fundamentally flawed that it fails to mention that there were two drones that hit the kremlin, and implies it was a single strike that took place when people were already on the roof, not two strikes, one of which took place 13min earlier. 950 words on the attack without a single sentence entertaining the idea that it could be a genuine attack. When lazy journalists read this there is a single conclusion they will make (given it being unbalenced in its entirity) and this is clear from reading media coverage. Much of their assessment relies on the idea that drones could not penetrate Russian air defence... That is NOT an assessment I would trust open-source mapping professionals (very much including myself) to make. It fails to mention how irrevokably incompetent it makes Russia look, it fails to mention the fact that this could be designed to pull air-defence away from other 'shaping targets' to protect Moscow, it fails to mention any balance, it's very lazy and one-sided. Hard to expect more when you give a couple of people a deadline of 5 or 6 hours to write ten pages on an event that just happened without any clear information in the open source yet. Of course it will be full of errors and incomplete. More broadly, the 24-hour news cycle problem is a massive problem for the online OSINTers when reality along with shaping and military operations are happening on a scale of months not hours. But somewhere with the institutional audience of ISW should know beter.
  11. The only thing I love more than watching Andor is watching people fall in love with Andor.
  12. Alright. Let's clear some shit up. #1. Igor Sushko is not an authoritative source of information. He is a former race car driver and consistently posts alarmist stuff on twitter. For instance, another post of his around the same time as the ZNPP tweet, he says that Russia is preparing to launch two nuclear missiles at Ukraine. He is not to be believed. #2. He is not saying anything that the IAEA reported. No IAEA report has stated that the reactors have been rigged to explode. #3. The source of his information is this facebook post by Ukraine's State Nuclear Regulatory Inspector. Here's a report from an English Language news source from Ukraine: The Russian occupiers placed military equipment and explosives at the ZANP: details | West Observer WESTOBSERVER.COM The Russian occupiers placed military equipment and explosives in the premises of the turbine section of power unit No. 4 of the ZANP. The representatives of the IAEA reported on the fact that the Russian occupiers placed military equipment, weapons and explosives in the premises of the turbine section of power unit No. 4 of The IAEA communication to the Ukrainian agency essentially says "the Russians are using the turbine hall to store ammunition and explosives." The turbine hall of a nuclear power plant is generally well protected and a decent indoor space to take shelter from things outside. It makes sense that they would store weapons there, as occupiers. Likewise, the Ukrainians probably aren't keen with launching artillery strikes on their own nuclear power plant. It sucks, but it doesn't mean the plant is rigged to blow. Oh, also, the Russians have been doing this for nearly a year in other turbine halls. TL;DR, Igor Sushko is an alarmist idiot that does nothing more than harm to Ukraine's efforts.
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