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SaysWho?

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Everything posted by SaysWho?

  1. So Ohio is working in conjunction with those other states but is also planning to open back up starting May 1.
  2. He did have a home state advantage, though, if you look at the margins. 1996 Clinton margin: Kentucky: +0.9 Tennessee: +2.4 2000 Gore Margin: Kentucky: -15.1 Tennessee: --3.8 Huge swing in Kentucky. Not so much in Tennessee. Fast forward to 2008, and both Kentucky and Tennessee voted for McCain by around the same margin. Gore being on the top of the ticket likely made Tennessee more competitive than it otherwise was.
  3. Gore lost a lot of states Clinton won. That's what I'm saying, though: all those Appalachian states swung the other way. Clinton won it by just three points. Gore was VP for eight years; he had long since removed himself as this southern Senator with rural roots. Tennessee was just another Appalachian state/region that Gore didn't win on top of West Virginia, Kentucky, south Ohio and western Pennsylvania. And a little further west, Arkansas. If he won Tennessee, he likely would have been doing way better in West Virginia, Kentucky, Ohio, and Florida and could have won all of them sans Kentucky. There are many cultural similarities between all the areas I mentioned, including Florida which has transplants from everywhere and a city called Bradenton that is called Bradentucky locally there because it seems more midwestern or Appalachian in culture. New Hampshire is different, though. He could have won that in a vacuum and sealed the deal, and probably would have done slightly better in Maine (people forget that Bush was nearly the first to win one of its electoral votes before Trump did successfully). tl;dr: Gore wasn't going to win Tennessee in a vacuum.
  4. Shit man, since you left the board yesterday, Mr. Vic ate Biggie to possess his power.
  5. Yes, they're not attracting many rural, white Americans, but that was part of my point, albeit not phrased strongly. In 2006, Webb won as a Democrat narrowly. In 2018, Kaine easily won. Yet he didn't sweep a ton more counties; he just got more and more of the vote in the east, while the rural west -- Appalachia -- became more strongly Republican. The other part of my point was that it's more than northern Virginia; they actually do pretty well in many parts of the state for a variety of reasons. I just brought that up because I think that's been said here, and while a ton of the vote is from there, it's not like Illinois where sometimes the gubernatorial/Senate Democrat can just run up votes in Chicago and the Chicago suburbs and make it a close race by that alone. He had a better chance winning Florida since he only needed ~500 votes. He may have had roots there, but if he won in Tennessee, he would have been much more competitive in Kentucky, Arkansas and West Virginia as well and it wouldn't have been as close electorally. Hell, he would have won Florida had he also won Tennessee since there are traces of Appalachia down here.
  6. What's funny is that the Lancet piece phrases it differently. They say school "closures alone will reduce COVID-19 deaths by only 2-4%.” He rephrases it saying we'll "only" kill off 2 - 4 percent of people (which is a lot of people).
  7. New York extends NY Pause (their stay-at-home) to May 15. Interesting that it's not extended the whole month, and maybe that's more good news as it looks like the curve is flattening there.
  8. They've been around for a while, so I wouldn't say they're limited at all. Nationally, it's been much harder. Bill Clinton was the last Democrat who could attract so many rural areas despite never winning a majority of the vote. This was 1996's map: Yet Obama also won by a big margin, got more than half the vote, and the county map looked like this: Like, Obama won the same percentage of votes in Missouri as Bill, but he won a half dozen counties. Still, this was a pretty strong map overall for Dems, and many rural areas still voted less Republican than in 2004. Your point for urban-rural is even more striking when you see the amount of dark red and dark blue on the map. Statewide, Dems can do really well, but it has gradually shown more instances of that divide. A few comparisons between 2006 and 2018 (same states running in the Senate) and their margin of victory. 2006 (58-38): 2018 (60-36) 2006 (57-41): 2018 (52-46): 2006 (67-31): 2018 (67-33): Those are better comparisons since the percentages aren't radically different. But even in Virginia, the margins were way different but the county map didn't change radically. 2006 (49.6-49.2): 2018 (57-41): Dems lost some counties, particularly in the west that has gone more Republican. At the same time, they're expanding in the east, so despite what some people say, it's not just Northern Virginia. Tons of votes are there, but they've been reaching out to many areas past Appalachia.
  9. tbh, considering Clinton's Arkansas roots, spending much of her adulthood in the state, then campaigning heavily in Upstate New York in her first Senate run and her ability to attract rural voters in 2008, it's endlessly fascinating how she couldn't do it again in 2016.
  10. Having read Shattered, Tim Kaine was picked because Hillary disliked all her options but got to know Tim through the interview process. He was the only one she was comfortable with having as VP.
  11. Senator John Kennedy of Louisiana went on Tucker Carlson's show to argue for reopening the economy earlier. I'm only bringing this up as an excuse to post this picture.
  12. I thought Biden was a way to help unite the party (I remember Geraldine Ferraro, someone you may remember was infamously tense with the Obamas, being very excited about it as a Hillary supporter), bring someone who had some foreign policy chops, and appeal to working class folk considering his Pennsylvania roots. I don't know if it's ever been shown that he moved the needle at all. Obama was doing well in places like Wisconsin and Iowa and Minnesota before Biden came into the picture.
  13. The organizers' Facebook page was flooded with comments, both in support and against the protest. "Can people PLEASE stay in their cars, and if they get out, to wear masks and practice social distancing?" one Facebook user posted. "The statists will use any excuse to discredit the protest, so please don't give them a freebie." "The guys on the steps of the (Capitol) are putting this protest backwards," another wrote. "Now we are going to be portrayed as far right extremist. Thanks allot jerks...Stay in your dam car and put the freaking rifles away...You're going to ruin this for everyone!"
  14. Of course I remember Shadow of War; that was an unexpected delight!
  15. I think it's just funny when normal life meshes with D1P life; I can't really describe it, though. Yeah, but Arkham's was fresher when it came out; it was the first series I remember that had that kind of combat. And while Mordor wasn't memorable for anything except the Nemesis system it introduced, I REALLY liked Shadow of War. Like the first, I couldn't tell you shit about the story, but I remember orcs that tracked me down, I remember Kumail Nanjiani's orc, especially due to this hilarious Clueless Gamer: And the siege mode was fun as hell. I'm a huge fan of Dynasty Warriors despite the fact that the combat is pretty simple. Siege mode felt like Dynasty Warriors with better combat in a smaller area, and the back-and-forth was thrilling because when the enemy started to take down your castle defenses, it really felt like they were gaining the upper hand. And I felt like my allies were holding their own, so I wasn't just running around rescuing everyone. Just a great game overall and a huge jump from Mordor, which was like a last-gen game (kind of was since PS3/360 versions exist) with a concept that only works this gen in the Nemesis system, whereas War's Siege Mode felt like a grander idea that was helped by current gen tech in addition to the cool Nemesis system.
  16. Indiana congressman says he's willing to let more Americans die to save economy He's "pro-life."
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