SaysWho?

Maine has showed consistent small leads for the Democrat but big leads in the second choice part (they have ranked choice voting), so my guess is Collins is going to lose. The big thing is that the rest of the races are all relatively close, so you could presumably have a decent Republican night or a Democratic sweep depending on which was the margin of error is.

Democrats are favored but it's not a lock. Maine, North Carolina, Arizona, Colorado are the places Democrats are polling best in. Iowa has been surprisingly good for Dems, as has the Georgia seat Perdue has. Kansas, Montana, Alaska, South Carolina, the Georgia seat are all very competitive. Mississippi, Texas are longer shots but doable if the night is really good for Dems. Alabama is the most endangered seat for Dems, whereas Michigan is a longshot for Republicans but still doable if it's a poor night for Dems.

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For that NBC poll: And the composition:

Caveat: in other polls, Biden leads more with Hispanics in Florida. "A Univision poll released Wednesday painted a different picture. It showed Biden doing markedly better among Florida Hispanics, leading Trump by 20 points, 57 to 37 percent. A CBS News Battleground poll released last week had Biden leading [them] by 27 points.” Florida's harder because the Hispanic vote obviously includes Cuban Americans, and while younger Cubans are less Republican percentage-wise, the entire demographic is still strongly for Trump overall.

Was just about to post that. They're about even with Hispanic voters. And they were getting out the Puerto Rican vote in Central Florida for good reason:

So this isn't really election related but fuck it

Trump gained .5 in national polls while Biden gained .7 in state polls with signs that he's gaining ground in the Rust Belt. So, sure.

Broward is one of the most Democratic counties in the state and also the site of the Parkland shooting.

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Jared Kushner bragged in April that Trump was taking the country 'back from the doctors' WWW.CNN.COM President Donald Trump's son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner boasted in mid-April about how the President had cut out the doctors and scientists advising him on the unfolding coronavirus pandemic, comments that came as more than 40,000 Americans already had died from the virus, which was ravaging New York City. Trying to get the whole audio.

People forget that the results were called for Florida I believe the night of in every election since 04.

Lots of things have muddled Trump's message about a lot of things. Trump merely saying something doesn't mean he has a clear message or that people believe it.

Summer of 2019 I went to Seattle, road tripped to Montana, went back and saw a bit of Tacoma but really explored downtown Seattle, then went to Portland. Every place was great. Rode through Spokane, saw amber waves of fucking grain through Washington, I was in bloody heaven.

I traveled through North Idaho to get to Montana from Washington, and North Idaho was gorgeous. It was weird though that there were just four radio stations, two of which seemed to be the same rock station and two which were Christian rock.

I shouldn't but....

@mclumber1 deserves a trophy for responding to you about that past "WTF YOU THINKIN VOTING THIRD PARTY" As he said, if Biden wins, a lot of us have expectations for him and complaints. But we're voting because he's leagues better than Trump and we could get more out of him than with Trump. I applaud your vote, sir!

Cook Political moves Texas to the tossup column.

News is picking up on that Omaha rally Rico posted about. What a shitshow. Thousands of Trump supporters stuck on freezing Omaha airfield after rally WWW.NBCNEWS.COM Many of those at Eppley Airfield faced hours in long lines to get in and clogged parking lots and busy crowds to get out.

Summary of the free No Man's Sky upgrade:

A bunch of Senate and gubernatorial polls:

Maine's 2nd district is reaaallly close.