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Everything posted by SaysWho?
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~Official 2020 Congressional and State Races Thread~
SaysWho? replied to SaysWho?'s topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
Very curious how much he wins by. 2001 gubernatorial race: 2008 Senate Race: 2014 Senate Race: In 2014, he was polling so far ahead but ended up winning by less than a point. In all honestly, I feel 2014 was a precursor to 2016 -- Republican underestimated, polling off in some states for the same reason it was in 2016, mostly in Appalachia and the upper midwest. Whereas we haven't seen these issues since 2017. -
Stop demonizing Trump supporters.
SaysWho? replied to Fizzzzle's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
That's the thing: I get talked down to a lot when I dismantle their silly conspiracy theories or try to show them where their anger could be directed (ex: a former friend of mine was all angry the NFL did nothing to celebrate first responders in early September but unfriended me after I told her she should be made at Trump, who was being accused by FDNY of stealing money from that fund, and Giuliani, who lied about the air quality there which has led to so many of them suffering). First she laughs that I must have meant to reply to someone else. Then it's "please.... GO AWAY" She used to be my barber 20 years ago. Eventually I realized she was an idiot. Sucks, but the beat goes on. It'd be nice if I weren't talked down to. THEN maybe I'd consider contemplating the notion of considering voting Republican. -
~2020 Hurricane Season Thread~
SaysWho? replied to Ricofoley's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
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Get in losers, we're going projecting
SaysWho? replied to Joe's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
Brah, Clinton could have won Florida and she still would have lost the election. -
Get in losers, we're going projecting
SaysWho? replied to Joe's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
It's so hard to separate what I want to happen versus what I think is likelier to happen, especially because of the outside chance that Montana and Indiana are much closer than many expect (Indiana still with a good lead for Trump, Montana tightening for Biden in October), and also because Iowa and Ohio are much harder wins than Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan. What I'd love to see: http://www.270towin.com//images/brand/270ToWinLogo-iOS.jpg 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map WWW.270TOWIN.COM Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election What a few points in another direction might end up giving us that will make me happy but not as thrilled: http://www.270towin.com//images/brand/270ToWinLogo-iOS.jpg 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map WWW.270TOWIN.COM Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election A mix of hopes and expectations: http://www.270towin.com//images/brand/270ToWinLogo-iOS.jpg 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map WWW.270TOWIN.COM Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election -
Again, this isn't an, "I told you!" because the votes haven't all been counted. I'm not gonna demean anyone for being skeptical of Texas; I just think there's plenty of reason to believe it'll be close, and that a Biden win would be a shock to the nation but not necessarily a shocking outcome, if that makes sense.
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It's not anymore than Indiana and Virginia and North Carolina were pipe dreams for Dems in 08 or Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were pipe dreams for Reps. Competitive, but not impossible states. Republicans wouldn't push to throw out 100k ballots if they thought it was a pipe dream. There are always states that are considered fool's gold until they're not. I'm not saying expect Biden to win. But it's going to be close in Texas. Maybe it's 3 - 4 points close, but it'll be close.
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I didn't see the segment, but this is Dave Wasserman's electoral prediction: Technically 320 since NH wasn't colored yet, but he has Nebraska's 2nd district going for Biden, Arizona and Georgia flipping, and interestingly, OH and FL going red but not being the decider in the election, which is one of many possibilities.