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Everything posted by Iculus
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It is super foggy at the moment, because most of the casualties have occurred in China. If their reporting is accurate then it doesn't appear so. There are several countries that have completely cut off inbound flights from China. Now people are just taking one way flights to Japan, and then traveling to other destinations. So yeah, you don't necessarily want potentially infected people in your country, but at least they were being tracked before the bans. (I haven't seen my wife today, and they just started getting enough data to make competent models. I'll ask for clarification when i get home)
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Fear Inoculum - Adam Jones is the weak link here. Chamberlain and Carey are rock solid, but like most rythm sections, they just want to beat the shit out of things. Maynard's participation being so after the fact is tragically noticeable. Some of the tracks are fine but (hot take) 10,000 Days is better. Jones is Tool as much as anyone else, but it would be cool if they would introduce another solid creative influence with Maynard being so busy.
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At this point they are assuming that this virus is similar (they all appear to originate from bats, though MERS had camels as a secondary reservoir) to SARS/MERS with regards to most measurables. SARS and MERS have an incubation period of 14 days, and can "live" on surfaces for at least 48 hours. The UGA Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases has been working almost nonstop to develop appropriate models for this outbreak. They are really good at what they do...
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We've recalled all nonessential diplomatic personnel. There are well over 100 cases being monitored. The flight that is believed to be responsible for the case in Washington has had spillover into Mexico and Canada. There have been confirmed infections in 4 of the 6 WHO territories, and they aren't scheduled to meet again until Thursday. This will almost certainly be a pandemic by then.
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At this point China has effectively quarantined %6 of it's population. That is absolutely insane. They are back to thinking that this is new, and not a strain that was previously undetected. @CayceG Texas A&M has a potential case. The patient is currently quarantined in his dorm room. Still nothing about TTU.
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I've only been told one thing that I wasn't allowed to share, and it isn't even relevant anymore. I just happen to be married to the lead CDC modeler working this outbreak, so I get breaking news in real time. lol Edit - it would also be risky to publish any of this without vetting it first. There are currently a lot of moving parts. All of these groups are currently collaborating without much organization because of the WHO's reluctance to call this a PHEIC.
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It appears to be more contagious, but yes. There are already reports of 2nd and 3rd generation human to human infections. This is bad because it's more communicable than originally thought. It doesn't appear to have mutated. So we have that going forjedi us. Edit - Don't ask me to explain any of this because I have zero idea. My wife has a PhD, and I work at target lol