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Everything posted by rc0101
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Yup they were “healthy” it was just the perfect storm hitting them and lack of proper liquidity management. I need to check to see how much in fed funds they had borrowed and what their tangible common equity was over the past few quarters. It just doesn’t make sense that they didn’t see the risk coming. we have no where near their asset size and we have been monitoring our unrealized losses since last summer and conducting quarterly stress testing. edit - looks like they had $15 billion in fed funds at the end of 2022. Their AOCI was -$1.9 billion. Just for fun look up what Ally Bank is showing for their AOCI, I bet they are getting nervous calls from their regulators and investors.
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You know I think a lot of this could have been avoided if SVB had employed a Chief Risk Officer over the past year or so. A Chief Risk Offer would have/should have done a liquidity stress test when rates were climbing, and were told that rates will continue to climb. Or maybe their examiners or state banking agency could have taken a peak at their portfolio and noticed that they have a rather large concentration in tech. Also, I would argue the flight of deposits to large banks would be more dangerous than it would be to smaller regional and community banks. also, I don’t see any scenario where they wouldn’t be acquired.
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Ahh yeah my bad. This thread was really going somewhere before I said the Lions should be in instead.
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Not a fan of the Lions
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Mhm
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Neither do the Hawks.
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Lions should have been in over this Seahawks embarrassment
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Official World Cup 2022 thread cuz someone has to make it.
rc0101 replied to Zaku3's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
So Reyna replaces CP on Saturday I would think. But then Reyna seems to be in the doghouse so Aaronson? -
Official World Cup 2022 thread cuz someone has to make it.
rc0101 replied to Zaku3's topic in The Political Re-Education Camp
The Moore sub made no sense and then they doubled down and continued to go to his side. English fans were ultra confident before this game and now seeing them scramble is hilarious. -
Trump going to go hard at Desantis after tonight. Night turned out way better than expected. Zinke winning is a disappointment but not very surprising for me.
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Books What Are You Reading or Listening To?
rc0101 replied to rc0101's topic in The Performing Arts Centre
Starting Night Flight to Paris by David Gilman -
I will say that’s a common move in a takeover. Once you know which executives you will keep, you escort the others out, with as little notice as possible. The security might be a bit much but I’m guessing Elon subscribes to the “fire someone on day one so the others fall in line” approach and wants it to be a spectacle.
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Books What Are You Reading or Listening To?
rc0101 replied to rc0101's topic in The Performing Arts Centre
Finished it recently as well. My constant thought was: “what a miserable time to be alive” -
Oh God…Short answer: ask me in 12-24 months long answer based only on my pov in my specific area - good for consumer, bad for community banks and profitable for FI’s structured correctly. Good because I think you are seeing the death signs of overdraft fees, nsf fees etc. Bad - Community banks will continue to disappear, being gobbled up by regional banks and those communities they served will only be a number. Credit Unions will and have been filing that void on the consumer side but it will be interesting to see what they do on the business side. Traditionally the life cycle of a successful business was: Startup with community bank for 5-7 years - succeed and outgrow community bank - move onto larger bank with lower rates since they have a proven history of success and are too large for community bank. Not sure CU’s will fill that void, here they aren’t. Profitable - depends on rates not cratering in the next 12 months, for us anyway.