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Ricofoley

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Everything posted by Ricofoley

  1. i seem to remember an exit poll that was like 54-46 Trump, something like that. It seems like the exit polls were all FUBAR though
  2. Supposedly the remaining batches from AZ are supposed to be bluer than these from here on out, but I dunno. I have no idea who actually knows what they're talking about in these threads were everybody's doing back of the napkin math
  3. Kinda all you need to know about policing in this country is that nobody's getting tear gassed in the Arizona crowd
  4. People seem to have slightly different interpretations of his chances with what's left, but it seems like consensus is that Perdue getting to <50% to trigger a runoff is looking good, but Biden getting to a win is a longer shot but still possible
  5. It's a weird situation right now, because the state where Biden is currently losing by the most out of what's left is the one where everyone looking at the outstanding vote right now is most sure that he'll win. Except Fox and AP with Arizona, I guess? Arizona is a weird case.
  6. That's when they expect to be completely done, but I would expect the networks to call it as soon as Biden's in the lead, yeah? I think the expectation is it's going to steadily move in Biden's direction from now on and it's just a matter of whether enough is left for him to overcome the deficit, which most everyone seems to agree by now is almost certain.
  7. Best case scenario for the next few years is Trump launches a Fox News rival and ends up completely splitting the audience and they both lose influence compared to what Fox has now.
  8. Sounds like your case was as mild as mine was. I hope it stays that way! I'd be prepared to have a few random bouts of fatigue for a few days after it seems like you're mostly recovered. That was the only thing that seemed different than just a regular cold in my case--it look a few days longer to feel back at 100% energy throughout the way day again.
  9. Another thing that's making me feel... better-ish today, aside from the obvious of Biden seemingly being on the cusp of clinching, is that it looks the drop in the margin of the House majority won't be as bad as what the worst case scenario looked like. This is a lot like 2018, where early on on election night it was looking much more disastrous than what the final outcome was. A 52-48 Senate would still be a huge bummer for obvious reasons though.
  10. I'm seeing a bunch of completely conflicting stuff about Biden's standing in both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, so I think I'm gonna go to bed before my brain breaks any further. I'll see you guys tomorrow and we can evaluate the exact level of Hell World we live in.
  11. Things will definitely still suck, but we avoid some absolute nightmare scenarios. Fauci and other competent officials will be retained for the COVID response. Trump was reportedly gonna fire Esper and nominate a more loyalist Defense secretary. He was gonna fire Wray at the FBI and appoint a loyalist. The entire government would become much more explicitly MAGA with a Trump win.
  12. I think most importantly, they consume two totally different news environments. There were people who earnestly thought the entirity of Seattle and Minneapolis were on fire during the early George Floyd protests.
  13. Now we get into Bush v. Gore lawsuit hell for the next few days (weeks?). Maybe more Brooks Brothers Riot incidents.
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