Ricofoley

Yeah I would still get tested if you live somewhere where that's easy to do.

People seem to have slightly different interpretations of his chances with what's left, but it seems like consensus is that Perdue getting to <50% to trigger a runoff is looking good, but Biden getting to a win is a longer shot but still possible

It's a weird situation right now, because the state where Biden is currently losing by the most out of what's left is the one where everyone looking at the outstanding vote right now is most sure that he'll win. Except Fox and AP with Arizona, I guess? Arizona is a weird case.

Accused of sexual assault too!

That's when they expect to be completely done, but I would expect the networks to call it as soon as Biden's in the lead, yeah? I think the expectation is it's going to steadily move in Biden's direction from now on and it's just a matter of whether enough is left for him to overcome the deficit, which most everyone seems to agree by now is almost certain.

Best case scenario for the next few years is Trump launches a Fox News rival and ends up completely splitting the audience and they both lose influence compared to what Fox has now.

Sounds like your case was as mild as mine was. I hope it stays that way! I'd be prepared to have a few random bouts of fatigue for a few days after it seems like you're mostly recovered. That was the only thing that seemed different than just a regular cold in my case--it look a few days longer to feel back at 100% energy throughout the way day again.

Another thing that's making me feel... better-ish today, aside from the obvious of Biden seemingly being on the cusp of clinching, is that it looks the drop in the margin of the House majority won't be as bad as what the worst case scenario looked like. This is a lot like 2018, where early on on election night it was looking much more disastrous than what the final outcome was. A 52-48 Senate would still be a huge bummer for obvious reasons though.

Boy he bout to do it

I'm seeing a bunch of completely conflicting stuff about Biden's standing in both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, so I think I'm gonna go to bed before my brain breaks any further. I'll see you guys tomorrow and we can evaluate the exact level of Hell World we live in.

Things will definitely still suck, but we avoid some absolute nightmare scenarios. Fauci and other competent officials will be retained for the COVID response. Trump was reportedly gonna fire Esper and nominate a more loyalist Defense secretary. He was gonna fire Wray at the FBI and appoint a loyalist. The entire government would become much more explicitly MAGA with a Trump win.

I think most importantly, they consume two totally different news environments. There were people who earnestly thought the entirity of Seattle and Minneapolis were on fire during the early George Floyd protests.

Now we get into Bush v. Gore lawsuit hell for the next few days (weeks?). Maybe more Brooks Brothers Riot incidents.

How does Poland figure into this

Biden apparently saw fit to announce that they're "on track to win this election" for whatever that's worth

Yeah, the sticky traps will work, but you gotta keep em out for a while because they'll keep coming back if you don't get all of them

It gets much, much, easier for sure. People seem nervous about the WI and MI numbers right now. I dunno, I haven't seen much drilling into them. The polls seemed much more confident for Biden in WI and MI then most other battlegrounds, so there would have to have been a massive polling failure for him to lose there

Welp, Prop 22 passed

We had a pantry moth problem a couple of years ago and they were a huge bitch to completely get rid of

can we not with this

I dunno why it didn't link, but there was just a big GA shift

https://twitter.com/mtsw/status/1323855036854669312 Hoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooold up

Take a breath