Senate Democrats introduce legislation to grant Temporary Protected Status to Venezuelans (may have implications in Florida)

[SaysWho?]

Senate Democrats introduce legislation to grant Temporary Protected Status to Venezuelans

WWW.NBCNEWS.COM

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"TPS is based in statute and is a legal immigration status," said Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., making a contrast with Trump's executive order.

 

Quote

"After four years of empty promises and deceit, nobody believes Donald Trump had an epiphany on his last day in office and decided to protect the hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans he was forcing into the shadows," the office of Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., said in a statement.

 

Trump's executive order deferred for 18 months the removal of Venezuelans who were at risk of being sent back to their home country.

 

"TPS is based in statute and is a legal immigration status, as opposed to Deferred Enforced Departure," Menendez said. "That is why we are relaunching our campaign to actually stand with those fleeing the misery caused by the Maduro regime."

 

Both TPS and Deferred Enforced Departure, or DED, allow recipients to legally live and work in the United States, but experts say the latter is a better option. "DED prevents migrants from deportation for 18 months and allows them to work," Miami immigration lawyer Laura Jimenez said. "TPS is an immigration status that can lead to a green card under President Joe Biden's immigration proposal."

 

So some context, at least the way I see it: Republicans have made overtures to Venezuelans as well as Cubans in Florida, and both are the reason Trump carried it by around 5 points. Obviously, what he did for them was minuscule and meaningless, but they've done a good job communicating with them for years to make them scared of Democrats.

 

This is not only a good idea, but it's clearly something concrete for Venezuelan immigrants.

[BloodyHell]

1 hour ago, SaysWho? said:

Senate Democrats introduce legislation to grant Temporary Protected Status to Venezuelans

WWW.NBCNEWS.COM

---

"TPS is based in statute and is a legal immigration status," said Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., making a contrast with Trump's executive order.

 

 

So some context, at least the way I see it: Republicans have made overtures to Venezuelans as well as Cubans in Florida, and both are the reason Trump carried it by around 5 points. Obviously, what he did for them was minuscule and meaningless, but they've done a good job communicating with them for years to make them scared of Democrats.

 

This is not only a good idea, but it's clearly something concrete for Venezuelan immigrants.

Cubans have been in the GOP's pocket for decades, and that isn't changing.

[SaysWho?]

19 minutes ago, BloodyHell said:

Cubans have been in the GOP's pocket for decades, and that isn't changing.

 

A bit of a simplification as it's literally been changing.  

 

Younger Cubans were not as Republican-leaning as older Cubans. If Cubans voted the same way in 2018 as in 2016, it's likely Florida would have a Democratic governor. In 2020, that changed with Trump and Republican efforts over the years syncing with younger Cuban Americans. The huge surge in Republican Cuban voters in 2020 in Miami-Dade was much different than 2016, 2012, 2008, etc. So Cuban support is high, but it's been far from the same and has shown cracks of which Democrats could take advantage.

 

The overtures to Venezuelans has not gone on as long and are more susceptible, however.

[PaladinSolo]

35 minutes ago, SaysWho? said:

 

A bit of a simplification as it's literally been changing.  

 

Younger Cubans were not as Republican-leaning as older Cubans. If Cubans voted the same way in 2018 as in 2016, it's likely Florida would have a Democratic governor. In 2020, that changed with Trump and Republican efforts over the years syncing with younger Cuban Americans. The huge surge in Republican Cuban voters in 2020 in Miami-Dade was much different than 2016, 2012, 2008, etc. So Cuban support is high, but it's been far from the same and has shown cracks of which Democrats could take advantage.

 

The overtures to Venezuelans has not gone on as long and is more susceptible, however.

Its also important to remember that theres no guarantee these people stay with the GOP, Bush did 9 points better with hispanics overall in 2004 than in 2000, then McCain did even worse than Bush did with the demographic in 2000, Trump in 2020 still did worse with Hispanics than Bush did in 2004.  So its entirely possible the GOP returns to the 2016 and prior election support with these groups.

 

Demographic trends outside of these specific groups in FL look really fucking back for the GOP, especially as the share of white voters continues to decline, 5% since 2012, like 2016 might literally be the last time the GOP wins the presidency without a dramatic course change, especially if white share of voters drops another 2-3% like it has the last few elections.