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SilentWorld

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Posts posted by SilentWorld

  1. 2 minutes ago, AbsolutSurgen said:

    Canada currently has 1,332 people in ICU beds -- this compares to 575 at the peak of the first wave and 881 at the peak of the second.

    They are coming down -- which is in part due to vaccination -- and in part, in the GTA at least, accompanied with the most strict lockdown we've seen during the pandemic.

    b.1617 has also be found in Ontario, and based on some recent studies is 60% more contagious than b.117 that cause the third wave.

    We’re already beginning to reduce lockdown restrictions in Saskatchewan. 

  2. 2 minutes ago, CitizenVectron said:

     

    A single dose provides 80-90% protection against getting the virus, and two doses provide 80-95% protection. There is almost no meaningful difference in herd immunity.

     

    However, if that is the hill you want to die on, Canada is going to also pass the US for full vaccinations sometime in July, count on it. And we will pass Israel in August or September, at the latest. But by then it won't matter—70-75% of the pop having a single dose is going to stop the pandemic better than 60% having two doses.

    I hope you’re right.

  3. 1 minute ago, AbsolutSurgen said:

    We're at 4% vaccinated -- we can't pass the US or catch-up with Israel by mid-June.  If we used all of our doses for second doses (at our current rate, which is the highest of any large country) we could catch up to where they are today (~37%) by Mid-June.  Catching up to Israel would require us to ~triple our vaccination rate.

    Considering we’re already seeing drops in ICU and hospitalization, I’m optimistic that even getting to 70% of 12+ with one shot will create enough herd immunity that we can have things mostly open.

  4. My wild ass guess on that collision is that the front door wouldn’t open because of structural damage due to the collision so the driver crawled into the back seat to open that door, which also wouldn’t open. Though I have seen videos of people setting the autopilot and then crawling into the back seat, it doesn’t seem likely it happened in that scenario based on where they were — the videos i’ve seen are always people on the highway. 

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