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Chris-

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Everything posted by Chris-

  1. This is where journalists need to be careful with their verbiage- those ballots aren't 'coming from' anywhere, they are already there. Just gives a little more fuel to all the morons who think ballots are still being collected.
  2. The Trump campaign literally has no argument to make in front of SCOTUS. Bush vs Gore was decided on the basis that different recount processes within the state violated due process; whether the ruling was right or wrong, it was procedural in nature and rooted in what would 'harm' the voters. There's no similar argument to make here...Once you mail your ballot, you have officially cast it - you cannot change your mind. A vote postmarked on November 3rd is the exact same as an in person vote on November 3rd, and voters are not harmed by how long it takes to count the vote they cast (it's not like every in person vote is counted on Election Day, either). Bush vs Gore was a matter of exploiting judicial philosophy, this would be a matter of creating something out of absolutely nothing.
  3. Trump needs about 60% of those votes to make up the difference; 350k of those ballots are in the two Democratic strongholds (Tucson and Phoenix); of the counties mentioned with >10k ballots left outstanding, only one (Yavapai) is at or exceeding the type of margin Trump needs. So at this point it is much to do about nothing.
  4. Most of the votes left outstanding are in Reno and Las Vegas, and the bulk of them are mail in. Should be fine.
  5. Incredible to learn ort’s marijuana intake given our beloved ort rage moments. Wouldn’t expect those from someone who’s dropped on a nightly basis.
  6. So Biden would need to carry those votes by 65-70% to pull it off; that's basically how he's doing with mail-in ballots in other states...
  7. Actually referencing their 2016 results that appears to be turnout (unless NC suddenly gained 2 million+ voters since then).
  8. NC SBE Contest Results ER.NCSBE.GOV So, it looks like there are nearly 2 million mail-in ballots to count in NC? Am I reading that properly?
  9. Biden picking up AZ and one of the NE/ME district votes means he needs to get two out of WI, MI, and PA (to say nothing of the fact GA is apparently still in play). I just do not see Trump getting that lucky this time around.
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