SaysWho? Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 First, Skywalker's legs: Quote Looking at the legs for Rise of Skywalker, which opened with “just” $177 million (compared to $220 million for Last Jedi and $248 million for Force Awakens), we seem to be seeing a reverse of what we saw with Last Jedi. That film didn’t benefit from the holiday until Christmas Day, which was its second Monday, which partially led to the smaller-than-hoped first Mon-Thurs frame and the massive 67% second-weekend drop. It recovered starting on Christmas Day and eventually legged it to $620 million in North America. Rise of Skywalker is reversing that performance. The sci-fi sequel led right into the holiday period with weekday holds on par with The Force Awakens. This led to initial hopes that it would do what Star Wars threequels usually do and end up right between Force Awakens and Last Jedi. However, it leveled off after Christmas and frankly never quite recovered. Chalk it up to word of mouth, reviews, disinterest in repeat viewings, competition from Jumanji: The Next Level and Little Women or the whole “fewer people go to the movies just to go to the movies” variable, but a more advantageous holiday calendar barely helped Rise of Skywalker. And after kids go back to school on Monday, all bets are off. Best case scenario is a domestic finish between $545 million and $565 million. The worst case scenario is around $515 million, but that will depend on how it holds up over the next few weeks. Competition is comparatively light, with Jumanji: The Next Level earning less than Welcome to the Jungle and Cats proving to be no Greatest Showman. If anything, the biggest threat to Star Wars IX is Frozen II, which is yet more evidence that Disney should have pushed the Star Wars finale to 2020. From Box Office Mojo on The Grudge's awful audience reception: Quote With an estimated $5.35 million on Friday, Sony and Screen Gems's The Grudge is expected to finish with anywhere from $11-13 million or so this weekend. One thing that might push that three-day total closer to the lower end of the range, as well as hamper any kind of long-term expectations, is the "F" CinemaScore the film received from opening day crowds. Knives Out, according to Deadline, is projected to drop 4 fucking percent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I still haven't been able to see Knives Out! I must do that quickly, before theatres near me drop it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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