SaysWho? Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 https://time.com/5669093/trump-election-campaign-democratic-states-2020 Quote Trump himself lost [New Mexico] by eight points to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and his disapproval rating among registered voters there is a crushing 57%, according to the Morning Consult voter tracking poll. Nonetheless, Trump’s campaign is betting it can win in New Mexico. Flush with cash, the campaign is planning to announce a state director and additional ground staff there in the coming weeks, a campaign official tells TIME. Internal campaign data has convinced Trump’s political advisors they can energize a slice of the state’s Hispanic voters to vote for Trump in 2020 by emphasizing Trump’s handling of the economy, border security and his trade confrontation with China. According to U.S. Census data, 49.1 percent of New Mexico’s residents identify themselves as Hispanic or Latino. The move is part of a series of bets Trump is making to win states that went for Clinton in 2016. Trump’s son-in-law and senior White House advisor Jared Kushner says that voter data has convinced the reelection effort to fund robust field operations in a much larger number of states than in 2016. Quote To win, Trump probably needs to come up with a different set of states than those that garnered 304 electoral college votes and carried him to the White House: public polls show his disapproval ratings swamp his approval numbers by at least 9 percentage points in his 2016 blue-to-red trifecta of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Quote Trump’s political strategists say they aren’t carving out a new path to 270 electoral votes and instead want to run up the score. Quote Not all the blue states are long shots like New Mexico. While the GOP hasn’t won Minnesota since Richard Nixon took the state during his landslide victory in 1972, Trump lost to Clinton there in 2016 by a slim 1.5 percentage points. The Trump campaign hired a full-time state director in June and saw an uptick in Republican voter registrations in recent months. tbh, Minnesota isn't a long-shot. Not only was it a narrow Hillary state, but people forget that Minnesota and Wisconsin were very close states in 2000 (Gore won by 2.4% and 0.22% respectively) and 2004 (Kerry won by 3.48% and 0.38% respectively, Wisconsin being the closest state in the nation). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 The difference from WI to MN is that MN doesn't have racist voter ID laws and voter list purging Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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