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Link200

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Posts posted by Link200

  1. 13 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

     

    To clarify, he could be indicted by the DoJ for contempt of Congress for ignoring the subpoena (just like Bannon was) and that indictment doesn't "go poof" if the committee disbands in a changeover of control of the House.

    True but my fear is that none of the stuff they are trying to get will ever be public as a result. We shall see how this works out.

  2. How much of this is a cargo correction considering cargo has been operating at 110% and still wasn't enough for the demand over the last two years? 

    Fedex for example had a huge growth spurt as a result of Covid. They reported $69.2 billion in revenue for the year ending on 5/2020. They reported $93.5 billion in revenue for the year ending 5/2022. Massive increases in revenue. UPS also had an explosion in revenue in 2020 and 2021.

     

    My guess is that as life returns closer to normal; cargo carriers will initially have drops in their revenue like we are seeing here. 

    Something interesting is that passenger airlines have not been seeing a drop in travel. They also have a few extra tools that help with future estimates. People can book their flights up to 6 months out instead of like with cargo when a ton of it is on demand. Passenger airlines are still showing future revenue increases and at least have not yet revised those numbers.

  3. On 7/29/2022 at 5:54 PM, Ominous said:

    I feel like this guy is full of shit most of the time.

    I don't think so. That said their titles and thumbnails can be very clickbait. Sadly that is the standard YouTube strategy these days to help exploit the algorithm.

    The content isn't all that bad.  

  4. 1 hour ago, SuperSpreader said:

     

     

    Strikes rarely happen under the Railroad Labor Act. Management and labor need to go through A LOT to get to the point where a strike is a possibility. Ultimately the National Mediation Board will release both parties into a cooldown period of 30 days after they reach an impasse. Depending on the president, the NMB is made up of presidential appointments, it can take a very long time to get to that point. Sometimes it just never happens.

     

    Pinnacle Airlines for example was in labor negotiations for a very very long time. They had a 99% strike vote and were just waiting on the NMB (Bush appointments) to release them. During this time management kept complaining about not having the money to offer improvements to the pilots. However, they somehow had the money to buy two other airlines (Colgan and Mesaba) during this timeframe. These days Pinnacle is known as Endeavor Air and they have had an updated contract. They are also now owned by Delta.

     

    Once the cooldown period ends the NMB can release both parties to "self help" and that is when a strike or other labor actions may occur. The President can force employees to go back to work if the economic impact is too great.

     

    The RLA was created in the 1930s. While it does give labor unions extra benefits (contracts don't expire, unions are national instead of spilt up locally, etc) it also can hold them back as well. Now companies are so large it is unlikely to see a large company have labor released to self help due to economic impacts to the nation. Smaller airlines have been able to go on strike but if any of the big three (American, Delta, United) were to go on strike it would likely be too great of an economic impact and stopped. The shear size of a company reduces a labor union's power under the RLA and that needs fixed.


    EDIT: Just to add, yes, airline unions are included in the RLA.

    • Thanks 4
  5. 2 hours ago, CayceG said:

    The Union still needs to vote on it and the deal is unpaid days off, not paid days off. There very well still could be a strike.

     

    1 hour ago, PaladinSolo said:

    My understanding is they are fine with unpaid days off, because they were on call 24/7 meaning they ONLY had their vacation days and some personal days available and they had to be pre-planned, so a guy with 16 years in only had 30 days off a year, whereas your normal worker gets ~100 off just from weekends before they even got to paid time off.  But if it is just unpaid sick days then yeah its probably not gonna fly with the union members, but the voluntary days assigned days off thing sounds like weekend type stuff.

    This type of schedule exists within aviation as well. The good news is that airline pilots don't have this issue any more. These horrible schedules do exist in the charter realm. 

     

    The general rule is "if I can't have a drink it isn't a day off."

  6. 2 hours ago, CitizenVectron said:

    Only the best lawyers. 

     

     

     

    To be fair it is highly likely that Trump threw his lawyers under the bus and had the docs moved prior to their searches.

     

     

    34 minutes ago, Jason said:

     

    I would say most people fully assumed the FBI set them out that way like they do with drug busts. Pretty sure a "look at our haul" picture is compulsory at this point.

    • Halal 1
  7. 1 hour ago, PaladinSolo said:

    The reason they are is because they are the ones that still have old soviet tanks, fighters, artillery and they're getting reassurances that we'll sell them NATO equipment to replace them.  The UK and the US stand out in that they're giving them more modern NATO equipment, and I imagine if the rest of Europe had a bunch of old T-72s they'd be shoving them at Ukraine as well.

    True, but also because Russia is literally on their doorstep if Ukraine falls.

  8. 9 minutes ago, Air_Delivery said:

    The EU has a larger GDP than the US..

    Not when you randomly pull the biggest economies out of the whole and separate them in the graph.

     

    Yes, Europe is still lagging far behind. But not as far as the original graph would make it seem. The GDP graph that was posted flattens the curve considerably and shows a more accurate representation of giving.

     

    You can't really combine the EU anyway. Aid packages are up to the individual countries. Judging the EU as a whole just doesn't work. Eastern European countries are contributing far more than the US.

  9. On 8/23/2022 at 11:20 AM, Brian said:

     

    This graph needs some modifications IMO. Would be better to show it as a % of the GDP or something similar.

     

    Not all countries have the same capacity to give like the US and just showing total cash given wouldn't be accurate.

     

    It would be like Bezos donating $1 billion to a charity and then chastising Mark Cuban for giving far less.

  10. On 6/29/2022 at 6:37 PM, Jason said:

     

    To be fair her testimony about the SUV ride is hearsay. Hearsay is evidence but it must be weighted appropriately. I do not believe it is lock tight evidence that the event occurred but it is enough evidence to go down the rabbit hole and see what they find.

     

    I hope they take the plunge and find the truth but if the reports are true that the USSS deleted possible evidence then 🤷‍♂️

  11. 1 hour ago, CayceG said:

    I don't think this makes the Russian military look too bad. It's a bad event, sure. But it's something that just will occur in a war. Bridge heads are strategic points that are vulnerable. This can happen. 

     

    It speaks more to the effectiveness of Ukrainian artillery spotting.

     

    How is it not bad for them if they keep doing essentially the same thing over and over again expecting a different result?

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