osxmatt

4 hours ago, GeneticBlueprint said:

 

What if she endorsed Trump? Would that be polarizing?

If I have to hear “half the country” or “74 million Americans” one more time this election season, I am going to lose my mind (it’s likely I’ll hear it 3-4 more times today).

Republicans are so desperate to inflate their popularity. “74 million Americans” isn’t half the country. It’s barely 20%.

That’s unfortunate. I was really curious to get some context on Amy Coney Barrett’s rationale.

Has anyone found a link to the actual SCOTUS ruling/opinion? I tried searching for it earlier today and couldn’t find anything.

I’m very fortunate relative to my millennial (1988) peers. I only completed two years of college and didn’t finish out my bachelors because I got offered a decent entry-level position at a FAANG company. I’ve been with them for 12 years now, and have worked my way through multiple promotions. 2023 was the first year I finished with six figures.

My wife and I purchased our home in 2015 for $179k. It was a brand new neighborhood, and now is worth north of $425k. My wife decided in 2018 when she was pregnant with our first child that she wanted to stay home. It has been hard at times with a single income, but we are able to make it work, even with our second child being born last June.

We used to joke back in 2018 that we would sound like boomers in 20 years, telling our adult children about how we bought a house for under $200k, and dad worked while mom stayed at home with the kids. We had no idea it would take less than 5 years to sound like that.

30 minutes ago, CayceG said:

This should be the final nail in the coffin for "we talked to prospective Trump voters" reporting. This guy is motivated by irrational anger and responds to those stimuli, as are all Trump voters. 

 

It is fascinating to me that someone has the political journey of supporting Obama, Trump, Burgum (!), Hayley, and then Trump. 

 

 

‘Our System Needs to Be Broken, and He Is the Man to Do It’ - POLITICO

WWW.POLITICO.COM

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Ted Johnson sincerely thought he wanted a uniter not a divider. It didn’t last long.

 

I still remember the ludicrousness of people in 2016 saying Democrats caused Republicans to vote for Trump by not sufficiently understanding or placating them.

In reality, Republican voters are gun waving hostage takers asking for $2 billion and a helicopter and then getting pissed when you don’t meet their demands.

11 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

Rumblings on Twitter that Desanctimonious is going drop out today and endorse Trump.

He just announced on X.

5 hours ago, Spork3245 said:

He’s already been found guilty (well, liable since it’s a civil case).

I think approval ratings have largely become irrelevant, a dying grasp from the old political guard. 

2 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Trump v Biden:  I vote for Biden 

Haley v Biden: I vote for Haley (or a compelling 3rd party candidate)

I was actually listening to a podcast that touched on this.

In 2020, Joe Biden wasn’t necessarily the candidate who aligned most the values of the new Democratic Party, but Democratic voters individually and collectively made the decision that he was the best person to win a national election and beat Donald Trump, over the likes of Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth.

And Republicans, well, they don’t give a fuck. They’ll vote for Trump no matter what, even though Nikki Haley would likely beat Biden.

6 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

 

That's exactly who I primarily have in mind.

I think her only gap, which is largely irrelevant for a VP, is mainstream name recognition.

But she really has everything Trump wants/needs in a VP. She is a Fox News darling, she is a woman (and his biggest weakness is suburban women), she has a bit of charisma, but not too much to outshine Trump, she is a loyal foot soldier, she’s had an affair with Trump’s inner circle, she can potentially counter Trump’s 2020 COVID weakness with her record (largely imagined) in South Dakota as governor.

My money is on Kristi Noem.

The US coal industry employs fewer people than fast food chain Arby’s. 

I really hope it's brought back as a monthly cash payment. It was such a huge differentiator in 2021.

Saints Row free today on EGS

Let’s see. This is bad for customers. This is bad for workers. Just who exactly is this good for? (I don’t actually need an answer to this)

A recent independent CNBC found the same:

Target blamed theft and violence for 9 store closures. Crime is higher at locations it kept open nearby

WWW.CNBC.COM

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Target blamed theft and violence when it closed 9 stores in New York, Seattle, San Francisco and Portland, but crime is worse at locations it kept open nearby.

NYT tomorrow: Is the economy doing too well?

4 minutes ago, Commissar SFLUFAN said:

Dear God @ the stock market 

Telling my wife we don't have to order off the value menu anymore!

Fed indicated 3 rate cuts in 2024

Fed Holds Rates Steady and Sees Cuts Next Year

WWW.WSJ.COM

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Officials don’t rule out further hikes while penciling in three rate cuts in 2024

I don’t think SCOTUS will do Trump any favors. They already got their seats. They don’t need him anymore. I also think a lot of establishment Republicans are realizing (or long ago realized) that things in the 90s and 00s were pretty good for them. They mostly got the legislative outcomes they wanted and were able to make incredible amounts of money at the same time.

Yes, most Republican voters were left behind and found themselves feeling disenfranchised which lead to a leader like Trump, but most Republicans in Congress, the administrative state, and the judiciary are insulated from any type of blowback for that.

As a daily MTG player I haven’t seen the full impact yet, but one of the Discord community managers that I interact with a few times a month was laid off. Right before Christmas too. Heartless stuff.

13 hours ago, SuperSpreader said:

Crowds at a ‘redneck Christmas parade’ come up with one solution for their troubles: Trump | CNN Politics

WWW.CNN.COM

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There were monster trucks, Leroy the redneck reindeer and a man blowing toilet paper. And many in the crowd thought a second Trump term could help their economy.

 

 

Quote

As for the 2024 presidential election, Mayo said, “We hope Trump gets back in there. Maybe he can straighten it out … Because it wasn’t in this turmoil when he left. All this has managed to happen in the last three years.”

DOUBT

2 hours ago, CayceG said:

I don't think the economy is really that bad. 

 

 

I just think home interest rates are too high. 

I largely agree with this. I don’t think the metrics we use to measure the ‘economy’ are a particularly good indicator of the actual economy, at least in the way the average person thinks about it.

I think in general, the average person really views the ‘economy’ in the terms of disposable income, or money left over after their bills are paid. But that’s not really how we measure the ‘economy.’

I think that’s why there is such a disconnect between Democratic messaging and the average voter. Because to the ruling/governing/intellectual class, a lot of the metrics we use to measure the economy: unemployment rate, jobs added, wages, etc are doing very well.