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Colorado State decreases Atlantic hurricane forecast, weak El Nino seems likelier

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The Pacific has been crawling with activity, but the Atlantic? Not so much. Waters have been cooler than average, and Caribbean wind shear has been high. A weak El Nino seems likelier, which means more active in the Pacific and less active in the Atlantic.


I always tell people that it's great to be excited by it, but to always remember Hurricane Andrew, the first hurricane which formed in August in a below-active season that hit Florida as a Cat 5.  So it's always don't not pay attention, but it's better for the psyche if you're not getting one storm after another as we did last year.

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