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~Official 2020 Congressional and State Races Thread~


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What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Kansas, Michigan And Missouri

 

Kansas:

 

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Kansas’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate might be the biggest down-ballot primary of the year. Although Kansas is normally a blood-red state, Democrats will have a real shot to win a Senate seat here for the first time since 1932 (their longest drought anywhere in the nation) if the GOP nominates former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.

For reasons ranging from his quixotic pursuit of voter fraud to his far-right views on immigration, legal troubles and an incompetent campaign, Kobach is such a weak candidate that he already lost the 2018 race for governor to Democrat Laura Kelly. And internal GOP polling has reportedly found that nearly 30 percent of Republicans would support Democratic state Sen. Barbara Bollier this November if Kobach is the nominee for Senate. That’s enough to put Kobach and Bollier in a virtual tie in the few public polls of the race we’ve seen recently.

 

Republican alternatives to Kobach:

 

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The problem is, they have two: Rep. Roger Marshall and plumbing and HVAC mogul Bob Hamilton. And thanks to his ability to self-fund, Hamilton had spent the most as of July 15 ($2.7 million), saturating the airwaves with campaign ads — and that’s on top of the years’ worth of kitschy commercials his company is locally famous for.

 

However, Marshall has the support of the party establishment: In addition to the $2.3 million spent by Marshall’s campaign, the Senate Leadership Fund has spent $1.9 million to help him. Marshall also has the endorsements of a prominent Kansas pro-life group, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and retiring Sen. Pat Roberts. 

 

Michigan:

 

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In Michigan, there are three interesting House primaries, but the one grabbing the most national attention is probably the rematch in the 13th Congressional District between Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib and Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones.

 

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Now, though, Tlaib and Jones are the only primary contenders, which might help Jones in the majority-Black, Detroit-based district as she is African American herself. In 2018, however, African American voters didn’t coalesce around a single candidate. Instead, Tlaib, who is Palestinian American, came out on top. However, this year Jones has the endorsement of every other Democrat who ran in 2018, and she’s taken aim at Tlaib’s sometimes-controversial national profile as a member of “The Squad,” claiming Tlaib is prioritizing celebrity over her constituents.

 

For the moment, though, Tlaib appears to have the upper hand, in part because she held a massive 40-to-1 cash-on-hand advantage over Jones as of July 15. Tlaib has also attacked Jones for not living in the district, and it probably helps Tlaib that Jones has her fair share of controversies, too, including alleged violations of state campaign finance laws. A July survey from Target Insyghts found Tlaib ahead 52 percent to 24 percent, so it looks as if this is Tlaib’s race to lose.

 

Missouri:

 

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Progressive challengers have already unseated incumbent Democratic congressmen in two districts this year — could Missouri’s 1st Congressional District be next? A Clay — either current Rep. Lacy Clay or his father, Bill — has represented St. Louis in Congress continuously since 1969, but registered nurse and Black Lives Matter activist Cori Bush is determined to bring that streak to an end. Clay defeated Bush 57 percent to 37 percent in the Democratic primary here in 2018, but it’s a much fairer fight this time around: Instead of being outspent more than three to one like she was in 2018, Bush has spent nearly $442,000 this year to Clay’s more than $548,000 (as of July 15).

 

In addition, outside group Fight Corporate Monopolies has dropped six figures on an ad attacking Clay for fighting the Obama administration on Wall Street reform. Generally, though, Clay has a pretty progressive voting record: He’s more liberal than 83 percent of Democrats in the current Congress, according to DW-Nominate, and, like Bush, supports both single-payer health care and the Green New Deal.

 

AND they're voting on Medicaid expansion:

 

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Missourians statewide will also vote on Amendment 2, a ballot measure that would make Missouri the 39th state to expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. In the face of opposition from Republican governors and legislatures, proponents of Medicaid expansion have had a lot of success recently at the ballot box — Idaho, Nebraska and Utah passed it in 2018, and Oklahoma did so just a month ago — and Missouri looks like it could follow suit. A June poll from Remington Research Group found Amendment 2 leading 47 percent to 40 percent, and as of July 27, supporters had outraised opponents by the shocking margin of $10.1 million to less than $112,000. 

 

 

Lots of other info in the link, friends.

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5 minutes ago, thewhyteboar said:

Glad to see Kobach lost. That white supremacist racist piece of trash can go fuck himself.

 

However, I'm aware that America is incapable of fully flushing turds, so I'm sure he will re-surface somewhere.

 

The Democrats were actively trying to boost him because they thought he'd be easy pickings in the general election.

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7 minutes ago, thewhyteboar said:

Glad to see Kobach lost. That white supremacist racist piece of trash can go fuck himself.

 

However, I'm aware that America is incapable of fully flushing turds, so I'm sure he will re-surface somewhere.

Trump admin or Fox news, maybe oan if we're lucky

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8 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Remember when Killary want Trump to win the GOP nomination, because he would be the easiest to win against?

 

Yeah I had that thought too, but I guess it was a safer bet here given he already lost statewide election a couple of years ago. 

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7 hours ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Remember when Killary want Trump to win the GOP nomination, because he would be the easiest to win against?

 

Kobach lost in 2018 when running for Kansas governor, so there was precedent there.

 

McCaskill wanted to run against that "legitimate rape" guy, did, and then easily won in 2012.

 

It can work pretty well. We only remember Trump because, well, he won and had a national profile. I'm still not enthused about it because if said person wins, shit, is that embarrassing. :lol: 

 

8 hours ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

martha stewart dating GIF

 

Not officially yet. There is still more to count, but we should find out later today (apparently there have been around 70 precincts counted out of 400-something). I don't know how populated/how many votes came out of those remaining precincts, though, but I'm guessing it's sizable if they're not calling the race for Tlaib considering her lead.

 

Side note, these were the endorsements for Tlaib and Jones:

 

Tlaib had a huge financial advantage over Jones, having raised more than $2 million. Jones was far outraised in 2018 but she almost won. The four other candidates backed Jones, while Tlaib was endorsed by unions, Bernie Sanders and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

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