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~Official 2020 Congressional and State Races Thread~


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7 hours ago, SaysWho? said:

lol susan is concerned about this tweet

 

 

 

So this tweet would imply that Trump doesn't realize that Collins doesn't support Barrett only because McConnell gave her permission not to so she can try and pretend to be somewhat centrist.

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19 minutes ago, ThreePi said:

 

So this tweet would imply that Trump doesn't realize that Collins doesn't support Barrett only because McConnell gave her permission not to so she can try and pretend to be somewhat centrist.

 

Trump is truly the biggest fucking moron alive. 

 

That or this is hyperdimensional kayfabe. 

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Cornyn initially described his relationship with Trump as “maybe like a lot of women who get married and think they’re going to change their spouse, and that doesn’t usually work out very well.”

 

 

 

LOL

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2 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said:

Its wild how fast AZ turned on the GOP.

 

Yeah, but Kelly is a certified badass astronaut.   That's hard to run against. 

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5 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Yeah, but Kelly is a certified badass astronaut.   That's hard to run against. 

 

The loony liberal leftists are running a literal space cadet! Vote Republican for more grounded policies. 

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8 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

Yeah, but Kelly is a certified badass astronaut.   That's hard to run against. 

Mcsally lost against the other AZ senator two years ago. 

 

Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice shame on me

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1 minute ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said:

Mcsally lost against the other AZ senator two years ago. 

 

Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice shame on me

 

She's literally never won an election, right? 

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4 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

The loony liberal leftists are running a literal space cadet! Vote Republican for more grounded policies. 

 

He also has an identical twin Astronaut brother.

 

Cue ominous music and foreboding voice: "Arizona, how do we know for sure which Kelly is actually running for Senate?  Is it Scott or Mark?  Play it safe and smart and vote for McSally this November 3rd."

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10 minutes ago, mclumber1 said:

 

He also has an identical twin Astronaut brother.

 

Cue ominous music and foreboding voice: "Arizona, how do we know for sure which Kelly is actually running for Senate?  Is it Scott or Mark?  Play it safe and smart and vote for McSally this November 3rd."


There’s probably already some QAnon shit like that. 

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House update motherfuckers, fuck you :| 

 

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FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM

In the face of a whirlwind presidential campaign and massive fundraising numbers coming out of marquee U.S. Senate contests, it’s easy to overlook what’s happen…

 

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Breaking the trifecta for Democrats:

 

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Of all the states where Republicans are in danger of losing their grip on state government, Texas would be the most consequential. Democrats would gain a seat at the table in not only policymaking that affects 27.9 million people, but also the drawing of almost 40 congressional districts in the upcoming redistricting process. (More on that next week.)

 

Just a few years ago, Republicans losing control of Austin would have been unthinkable — but in the 2018 midterms, Democrats flipped 12 seats in the Texas state House, meaning the party needs to net only nine more seats to take control of the chamber. And thanks to Texas’s recent leftward shift (especially in the suburbs), there’s a clear path for them to do it: In 2018, Democratic Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke carried exactly nine state House seats that are still held by Republicans — showing that those districts are willing to vote Democratic in the right circumstances — and he came close in several more. In total, Democrats are targeting about 22 seats in the chamber, though they also need to defend the 12 they picked up in 2018.

 

Breaking the trifecta is also possible for Democrats in Arizona, Iowa, and maybe Missouri.

 

Full control possibilities for Democrats:

 

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Democrats already capitalized on their most realistic trifecta opportunities in 2018, but there are still a few states left where the party could take full control of government. The most obvious is Minnesota, where the local Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party lacks control of only the state Senate. 

...

If Democrats are really lucky, they could also give Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf a Democratic legislature to work with in Pennsylvania. Despite maps that were drawn to favor Republicans, Democrats steamrolled Republicans in metro Philadelphia in 2018, cutting their deficit to four seats in the state Senate and nine seats in the state House. Of course, the remaining competitive seats are the heaviest lifts for Democrats, although they do have around 15 pickup opportunities in the House (though Republicans have 12 of their own). 

 

Full control possibilities for Republicans: Alaska, Montana

 

Breaking the trifecta possibility for Republicans: Maine

 

Could go either way: North Carolina, New Hampshire

 

 

Also, Michigan will have divided government no matter what, but Democrats have a chance at the state House. Why it matters (for more reasons than the obvious):

 

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If Democrats flip the chamber, it would be the culmination of a decade-long Democratic effort: According to Daily Kos Elections, Michigan Democrats won the state House popular vote in 2012, 2014 and 2018, yet fell short of the majority every time.

 

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