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Is War between China and the US inevitable?


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I appreciate these historical views and I think the historic perspective should force us to consider there may be a very real momentum towards war. It's important to be conscious of this and to consistently act to prevent war.


That said, I also think that the rise of China and the state of modern America are not necessarily destined to the same fate as Sparta and Athens. Two world wars, the existence of nuclear weapons, and a globalized economy have changed the calculus of war. I won't dismiss the possibility of direct conflict, but I think that modern history has shown that proxy wars between great powers are far more likely.


I also think there are good reasons to doubt that China's incredible growth and prosperity continue on the same trend line unimpeded. We should be prepared for a world where China is the dominant global superpower, but this talk makes it sound inevitable in the next decade or so.

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