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Democrats’ surprisingly close Ohio special election loss, in context


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While virtually nobody paid attention to the race, unheralded and underfunded Democrat Michael Kripchak was losing by less than 10 points in a district that Biden lost in 2020 by 29 points. For a time Tuesday night, it appeared as though it could have been even closer.

 

Democrats have over-performed in special elections throughout the 2023-2024 election cycle, but this was one of the biggest swings to date.

 

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State Sen. Michael Rulli (R), now representative-elect, outspent Kripchak, a former research physicist in the military who most recently worked as a waiter, $571,000 to about $7,000 as of May 22, according to campaign finance reports.

 

Outside groups including the national parties basically ignored the district because it had been uncompetitive in recent presidential elections.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/06/12/ohio-special-election-rulli-kripchak

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Basically every piece of information rights now points to the most enthusiastic voters absolutely hating the Republican party right now, and what it's going to come to is whether the presidental polls--which are the only things going against this trend--are systemically wrong, or whether Biden really is uniquely weak compared to the rest of the party. And the other possibility is that the polls numbers are accurate now, but Trump shows up at the debate in a couple of weeks and acts a hundred times more out to lunch than Biden and it completely kneecaps the attacks on Biden's age. Of course, Biden could also come out for the debate and immediately trip and fall, at which point we might be fucked.

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48 minutes ago, Ricofoley said:

And the other possibility is that the polls numbers are accurate now, but Trump shows up at the debate in a couple of weeks and acts a hundred times more out to lunch than Biden and it completely kneecaps the attacks on Biden's age. Of course, Biden could also come out for the debate and immediately trip and fall, at which point we might be fucked.


Just…just don’t do the debates. For the love of GOD please 

 

Michael Scott No GIF

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What happens if theyre both equally bad.. what if theyre both worse than what we think they are.. we can cringe together as a Nation. then the declining health of Biden will really be used as a reason to prevent his VP from taking over.. folks hate the prospect of president Kamala..

 

012_Kamala23-f96b69dcd3cfe74bbcfa96a6751

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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6 hours ago, Ricofoley said:

Basically every piece of information rights now points to the most enthusiastic voters absolutely hating the Republican party right now, and what it's going to come to is whether the presidental polls--which are the only things going against this trend--are systemically wrong, or whether Biden really is uniquely weak compared to the rest of the party. And the other possibility is that the polls numbers are accurate now, but Trump shows up at the debate in a couple of weeks and acts a hundred times more out to lunch than Biden and it completely kneecaps the attacks on Biden's age. Of course, Biden could also come out for the debate and immediately trip and fall, at which point we might be fucked.

GIF by Giphy QA

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13 hours ago, marioandsonic said:

Don't give me that hopium.

You better run on that hopium like it's the last warm body at last call. These bitches keep lighting sparks hoping to strike gas. Leaders across the world have been planning since the first Trump tour. Don't bet the civil service to help you, you're going to need your own way.

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18 hours ago, 5timechamp said:

What happens if theyre both equally bad.. what if theyre both worse than what we think they are.. we can cringe together as a Nation. then the declining health of Biden will really be used as a reason to prevent his VP from taking over.. folks hate the prospect of president Kamala..

 

012_Kamala23-f96b69dcd3cfe74bbcfa96a6751

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Do not speak ill of the Ugandan Giant!!!

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