Россия invades Україна | UPDATE (20 Apr 2024) - US House passes military aid bill for Ukraine

[Air_Delivery]

Leader of Russian-occupied Ukrainian town killed by car bomb -TASS

NEWS.YAHOO.COM

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The Russian-appointed administrator of a small town in the Russian-occupied east of Ukraine's Kharkiv region has been killed by a car bomb presumed to be the work of Ukrainian saboteurs, the regional occupation authorities said, according to Russia's TASS news agency. The military-civilian administration said Yevgeny Yunakov, chief administrator of Velikyi Burluk, had been killed by a Ukrainian sabotage and...

 

[CitizenVectron]

Another Russian base allegedly destroyed in Kherson:

 

[CitizenVectron]

HIMARS strikes in Rssian-occupied Nova Kakhovka (50-80km from front-lines):

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

Ukraine hit something big.

[CitizenVectron]

Ukraine confusing Russians SAMs by launching dumb rockets right before guided rockets.

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

Good news on the grain front:

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

The massive explosions in Nova Kakhovka appear to have been Ukraine destroying a large ammo cache, as well as potentially the city's dam with HIMARS volleys. The dam was one of the two bridges out off the city. Everything that Ukraine is hitting in Kherson points to them preparing for a counter-offensive.

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

This makes 13 large backline ammunition depots in one week. Russian mill bloggers are already predicting the obvious: with only four HIMARS, Ukraine is completely destroying the Russian rear, and has Russian soldiers terrified. Soon Ukraine will have eight HIMARS, then twelve. Ukraine is destroying the rear so that they can "crack the chestnut" of the entire southern front. These bloggers are highly critical of the Kremlin and military not being able to track down four MLRS vehicles.

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

The strike is getting a lot of attention online in Russia. Blame is being put on the military and how it is incapable of changing its strategy of just piling weapons all together.

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

ISW analysis for 11 July 2022:

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Update, July 11 | Institute for the Study of War

WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

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Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is likely continuing to grant Russian forces access to Belarusian airspace to demonstrate at least nominal support to Russian President Vladimir Putin without risking direct military involvement of Belarusian

 

 

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Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.

 

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is likely continuing to grant Russian forces access to Belarusian airspace to demonstrate at least nominal support to Russian President Vladimir Putin without risking direct military involvement of Belarusian Armed Forces in operations in Ukraine. Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Department of the Ukrainian General Staff Oleksiy Gromov previously reported on July 7 that the Belarusian government transferred use of the Pribytki airfield in Gomel Oblast to Russia.[1] Independent Belarusian monitoring organization The Hajun Project similarly reported on July 11 that a Russian Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) aircraft flew into Belarusian airspace for the first time since April 4.[2] The Hajun Project noted that the Belarusian government introduced new airspace restrictions along the border with Ukraine where the AWACS aircraft patrolled between July 10 and 11.[3] Taken together, these data points likely indicate that Lukashenko is attempting to provide support to Putin's war in Ukraine short of direct Belarusian military intervention in an effort to respond to the pressure Putin is likely putting on him. As ISW has previously assessed, the likelihood of direct Belarusian involvement in the war in Ukraine remains low due to the effect that might have on the stability and even survival of Lukashenko’s regime.[4]

 

Key Takeaways

• Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is likely continuing to allow Russia access to Belarusian airspace to indicate support to Russian President Vladimir Putin without risking the consequences of direct Belarusian military involvement in Ukraine.
• Russian forces conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults northwest of Slovyansk and west of Donetsk City.
• Russian forces continued air and artillery strikes around Siversk and Bakhmut.
• Russian forces conducted localized ground assaults northwest of Kharkiv City.
• Russian forces continued to focus on defensive operations along the entire Southern Axis.

 

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

This is economic aid, in the form of Cash Money Now™

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

Also, I don't have the tweet at the moment, but Russia has made a tentative deal for Iran to supply and train Russians on the use of advanced drones. lol, some superpower.

 

Here is a recap of the war in the last few days by Tom Cooper:

 

Ukraine War, 10–11 July 2022. Good morning everybody! | by Tom Cooper | Jul, 2022 | Medium

MEDIUM.COM

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Good morning everybody!

 

Opening paragraph says a lot:

 

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The exchange of blows is going on — with the note that the overly centralised Russian chain of command, using archaic communication systems, is now decidedly at the disadvantage. So much so, after the loss of some 30+ ammunition and POL-dumps, plus at least five command centres to Ukrainian M142 HIMARS, Caesars and other NATO-supplied means in the last 2–3 weeks, there are ever more complaints in the Russian social media. All the possible weaknesses are exposed, not only within the command structure, but in regards of weapons and logistics, too.

 

[CitizenVectron]

 

Saint Javelin was the patron saint of Ukraine at the beginning of the war. Now it's Saint Himars:

 

[CitizenVectron]

Not confirmed yet, but the Polish defense minister is currently in Kyiv:

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

It's war crimes against the people of Africa, is what it is:

 

 

[Guest]

Is this a forever war situation for Russia? 

[CitizenVectron]

4 minutes ago, sblfilms said:

Is this a forever war situation for Russia? 

 

Potentially. I don't think it's possible for Russia to conquer all of Ukraine...but if they give up, then it reveals they are a complete shell of a nation. For the sake of his ego, Putin must keep fighting, which will result in the deaths of hundreds of thousands (well over 100,000 have likely died, already).

[CitizenVectron]

 

We'll likely be getting a few of these per night, now. Ukraine is using $100k missiles to take out millions and millions of dollars worth of Russia ammo stockpiles.

[CitizenVectron]

More strikes at Chornobaivka. Assuming they hit the airbase, this would be the 28th such strike against it, I believe. At this point, can we assume that the local Russian defenders are just moving their vehicles and ammo there on purpose so that they don't have to fight the Ukrainians when they counterattack? 

 

 

EDIT - The real reason the Russians keep putting stuff there is that there is no other good place around Kherson city to store things, and the Russians are too stupid to build a base (or distributed bases) of their own.

[CitizenVectron]

Russia has responded by effectively wiping the city of Bakhmut off the map. Start watching the second video at the half-way point. 5-10 artillery impacts per second. There are people still living in these towns, they have nowhere to run. The death toll of the Russian barrages won't be known for years. They are monsters. This is a city of 72,000 people.

 

 

[CitizenVectron]

[CitizenVectron]

Also FYI, we are approaching the worst time of the year for Russia:

 

August curse - Wikipedia

EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG

 

If anything will go wrong, it will happen in August.

 

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The August curse has been perceived as a phenomenon in Russia, where from 1991 to 2001, disasters and adverse events occurred more often in August than in other months. Many possible explanations have been presented for this observation, ranging from fact-based to supernatural.

 

[CitizenVectron]

The US believes Russia may have kidnapped as many as 1.6 million people from Ukraine into Russia, including 260,000 children.

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

ISW analysis for 12 July 2022:

 

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 12 | Institute for the Study of War

WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

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Russian forces remain in a theater-wide operational pause in Ukraine. Russian forces continue to regroup, rest, refit, and reconstitute; bombard critical areas to set conditions for future ground offensives; and conduct limited probing attacks. The

 

 

 

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Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.

 

Russian forces remain in a theater-wide operational pause in Ukraine. Russian forces continue to regroup, rest, refit, and reconstitute; bombard critical areas to set conditions for future ground offensives; and conduct limited probing attacks. The Russian Ministry of Defense did not claim any new territorial control on July 12.[1] ISW has previously noted that an operational pause does not mean a cessation of attacks.[2] Current Russian offensive actions are likely meant to prepare for future offensives, the timing of which remains unclear.

 

White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan reported on July 11 that Iran will provide Russia with “up to several hundred UAVs” on an expedited timeline.[3] Sullivan did not specify the kinds of drones Iran will be supplying. AEI’s Critical Threats Project has provided a quick summary of the basic kinds and capabilities of Iranian drones. Sullivan noted that Iran will also provide weapons-capable UAVs and train Russian forces to use Iranian drones as early as July. Russian milbloggers and war correspondents have long criticized the Kremlin for ineffective aerial reconnaissance and artillery fire correction measures due to the lack of UAVs. Former Russian military commander and milblogger Igor Girkin stated that Ukrainian forces have successfully defended the Donetsk Oblast frontline due to the advantage of Ukrainian UAV capabilities in the area.[4] Russian milblogger Andrey Morozov (also known as Boytsevoi Kot Murz) blamed Russian state media for grossly misrepresenting the availability of Russian UAVs and their ability to support accurate artillery fire.[5] Russian frontline correspondent Alexander Sladkov also complained that Russian forces can build more drones but have not done so.[6]

 

Key Takeaways

• The Kremlin is reportedly sourcing Iranian UAVs likely to improve Russian aerial reconnaissance and indirect fire accuracy in Ukraine.
• Russian forces conducted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults north of Slovyansk and east of Siversk.
• Russian forces continued air and artillery strikes around Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
• Russian forces conducted multiple unsuccessful ground assaults north of Kharkiv City.
• Russian forces likely conducted a false-flag attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in occupied Enerhodar, Zaporizhia Oblast.
• Russian and Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian strikes killed multiple Russian officers in Kherson City on July 10.
• Ukrainian forces continued to strike Russian ammunition depots on the Southern Axis.

 

 

 

 

[Commissar SFLUFAN]

ISW analysis for 13 July 2022:

 

 

Russia Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 13 | Institute for the Study of War

WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG

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The Kremlin likely ordered Russian “federal subjects” (regions) to form volunteer battalions to participate in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, instead of declaring partial or full mobilization in Russia. Russian war correspondent and milblogger Maksim Fo

 

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Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.

 

The Kremlin likely ordered Russian “federal subjects” (regions) to form volunteer battalions to participate in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, instead of declaring partial or full mobilization in Russia. Russian war correspondent and milblogger Maksim Fomin stated that Russia has begun a “volunteer mobilization,” where every region must generate at least one volunteer battalion.[1] The term “volunteer mobilization” likely implies that the Kremlin ordered the 85 “federal subjects” (regions, including occupied Sevastopol and Crimea) to recruit and financially incentivize volunteers to form new battalions, rather than referring to literal mobilization relying on conscription or the compulsory activation of all reservists in Russia. Russian outlets reported that regional officials recruit men up to 50 years old (or 60 for separate military specialties) for six-month contracts and offer salaries averaging 220,000 to 350,000 rubles per month (approximately $3,750 to $6,000).[2] Separate regions offer an immediate enlistment bonus that averages 200,000 rubles (approximately $3,400) issued from the region‘s budget and social benefits for the servicemen and their families.[3] Russian media has already confirmed the creation or deployment of volunteer battalions in Kursk, Primorskyi Krai, Republic of Bashkortostan, Chuvashia Republic, Chechnya, Republic of Tatarstan, Moscow City, Perm, Nizhny Novgorod, and Orenburg Oblasts in late June and early July.[4] Tyumen Oblast officials announced the formation of volunteer units (not specifically a battalion) on July 7.[5]

 

Volunteer battalions could generate around 34,000 new servicemen by the end of August if each federal subject produces at least one military unit of 400 men. Some Russian reports and documentation suggest that the Kremlin seeks to recruit an estimated 400 soldiers per battalion, who will receive a month of training before deploying to Ukraine.[6] The number of men may vary as some federal subjects such as Republic of Tatarstan and Chechnya are establishing two and four volunteer battalions, respectively.[7] It is possible that some federal subjects may delay or not participate in the establishment of the battalions, with officials in Volgograd reportedly remaining silent on the formation of the new units.[8] Newly formed battalions are currently departing to training grounds and will likely complete their month-long training by end of August but they will not be combat ready in such a short time period.[9]

 

Russian milbloggers criticized the Russian military on July 12 for sourcing Iranian UAVs to improve artillery targeting in Ukraine while failing to address the command issues that more severely limit the effectiveness of Russian artillery. Russian Telegram channel Rybar claimed on July 12 that Russian requests and approval for artillery fire pass through a convoluted chain of command, resulting in a delay of several hours to several days between Russian ground forces requesting artillery fire, Russian targeting, and conducting the actual strikes.[10] Rybar claimed that Russian forces in Syria reduced the time between targeting and striking to under an hour.[11] Rybar claimed that while the Russian need for more UAVs is clear and that Iranian UAVs helped achieve a target-to-fire time of 40 minutes in Syrian training grounds additional UAVs do not solve the problems of overcentralized Russian command and overreliance on artillery in Ukraine.[12] Russian milblogger Voyennyi Osvedomitel’ claimed that Russian forces had faced the same overcentralized command during the First Chechen War, wherein the inability of Russian ground forces to request artillery support without going through a chain of command inhibited responses to enemy offensive actions.[13] Milblogger Yuzhnyi Veter claimed that Ukrainian artillery forces’ target-to-response time is under 40 seconds.[14]

 

The Critical Threats Project at AEI has updated its datasheet on Iranian UAVs with additional information, including information on the kinds of munitions those UAVs can reportedly launch. 

 

Key Takeaways

• The Kremlin likely ordered Russian “federal subjects” (regions) to form volunteer battalions to deploy to Ukraine.
• Russian forces conducted failed ground assaults north of Slovyansk and around Bakhmut.
• Russian forces continued air and artillery strikes around Siversk and west of Donetsk City.
• Russian forces continued targeting Ukrainian rail lines on the Eastern Axis.
• Russian forces attempted limited and unsuccessful ground assaults north of Kharkiv City.
• Russian forces prioritized defensive operations on the Southern Axis as Ukrainian forces continued targeting ammunition depots.
• Russian occupation authorities are increasing financial incentives for civilians working in occupied Ukraine.
• Russian occupation authorities may be setting conditions to forcibly relocate Ukrainian children in occupied territories to Crimea.

 

 

 

[Jason]

 

[Air_Delivery]

1 hour ago, Jason said:

 

Maybe in like WW2.

[CayceG]

lmao those are precast sewer junction boxes. 

 

I'd be surprised if they have any more rebar inside them compared to a normal sewer junction box, because I guarantee you they don't have a steel cylinder in them to improve protection. 

 

They had a precast company make these with their normal molds, they just added doors and windows--which reduces their overall strength because now there's a gigantic gap in the steel mesh!

 

144" Dia. Manhole Components | Oldcastle Infrastructure

OLDCASTLEINFRASTRUCTURE.COM

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In addition to our complete 144" dia concrete manhole, we have a full line of manhole accessories including but not limited to: Grade Rings, Frames and Covers, Access Doors, Term-A-Ducts, Racking and more.

 

 

[Mr.Vic20]

2 minutes ago, CayceG said:

lmao those are precast sewer junction boxes. 

 

I'd be surprised if they have any more rebar inside them compared to a normal sewer junction box, because I guarantee you they don't have a steel cylinder in them to improve protection. 

 

They had a precast company make these with their normal molds, they just added doors and windows--which reduces their overall strength because now there's a gigantic gap in the steel mesh!

 

144" Dia. Manhole Components | Oldcastle Infrastructure

OLDCASTLEINFRASTRUCTURE.COM

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In addition to our complete 144" dia concrete manhole, we have a full line of manhole accessories including but not limited to: Grade Rings, Frames and Covers, Access Doors, Term-A-Ducts, Racking and more.

 

 

Correct! You could shoot a tank shell through one of those puppies, no problem! Those structures are design to withstand hydrostatic pressure and compressive forces, not large caliber weapons fire, let alone shells. I could crack through a wall of one of those with a 20lbs sledge. 

[CayceG]

3 minutes ago, Mr.Vic20 said:

Correct! You could shoot a tank shell through one of those puppies, no problem! Those structures are design to withstand hydrostatic pressure and compressive forces, not large caliber weapons fire, let alone shells. I could crack through a wall of one of those with a 20lbs sledge. 

 

You could probably fire 7.62 through them! These won't dare stand up to a 20mm or 30mm cannon on an armored vehicle. I guess these are for roadside checkpoints maybe? If they're part of a defensive line, I'd guess that they might offer more protection from shrapnel than not having it there. But yeesh. 

[CitizenVectron]

 

[CitizenVectron]

Russians hit the city of Vinnytsia in western Ukraine, destroying a theatre.

 

 

[PaladinSolo]

 

[CitizenVectron]

40 minutes ago, PaladinSolo said:

 

 

They suck as ballistic missiles since their ordinance is so low (compared to purpose-built ones) and they are inaccurate...but if Russia has thousands of them sitting around and doesn't give a shit whose house or store they hit, then it makes sense (from their evil POV) to use them.