Chairslinger Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 50 minutes ago, MarSolo said: Fake news: “Hey guys look at Hunter Biden and his connections to China and Ukraine!” Everyone else: “Hey, so Trump’s got ACTUAL bank accounts in China.” You know, maybe they should tape Trump’s mouth shut for the next 14 days so that he doesn’t accidentally admit he did rape that 13 year old with Epstein. We joke about projection, and how "there's a Tweet for everything" but I genuinely think if Trump came out and accused Joe of x tomorrow, a reporter could do a lot worse than to assume x is true of Trump and start looking for leads. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 26 minutes ago, atom631 said: Thoughts? Poll that predicted Trump win in 2016 finds him closing gap with Biden NYPOST.COM A poll credited with being one of the only accurate national surveys in 2016 has found a sudden tightening in the race between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe... They weren't accurate in 2016, they were like +3.5% favourable to Trump. They predicted he would win the popular vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Biggest grift in political history? (His presidency) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firewithin Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 AOC streaming Among Us is both wholesome and hilarious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 1 hour ago, atom631 said: Thoughts? Poll that predicted Trump win in 2016 finds him closing gap with Biden NYPOST.COM A poll credited with being one of the only accurate national surveys in 2016 has found a sudden tightening in the race between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe... It's one poll and also Quote In 2016, IBD’s poll was one of the few to predict Trump’s win — a shocking upset that caught most media and politics professionals off-guard. Its final 2016 poll found Trump ahead by 1.6 points. Ultimately, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1 points, but won the Electoral College 304-227 thanks to narrow wins in many states. off by 3.7 points is hardly getting 2016 right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osxmatt Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 3 hours ago, PaladinSolo said: I mean, it's pretty obvious his campaign is pocketing money. Just like his charity did with veterans donations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyser_Soze Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 3 hours ago, SaysWho? said: Joe Biden drinks Coors? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spork3245 Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 5 hours ago, Keyser_Soze said: Joe Biden drinks Coors? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BloodyHell Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 10 hours ago, CitizenVectron said: My aunt, a crazy one I spoke of in another thread, told me Trump only paid 750$ in taxes those years because before he was president he gsve the government a loan of millions and the balance of his taxes were 1500$ the next two years 🤣 Yes Auntie Sue, the government needed a few million, so it went to Donald Trump of all people. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 Welp, looks like Trump won't be coming out in favor of marijuana legalization. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BloodyHell Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 10 hours ago, SaysWho? said: It pisses off republicans that Sam Elliot isn’t the hateful republican he usually plays in tv and movies 🤣 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Signifyin(g)Monkey Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 20 hours ago, Chollowa said: Debate Preview (Modified Rules Edition) Trump is going to use his uninterrupted 2 minutes to hit Biden over the head with the Hunter laptop bullshit, which, by Thursday, will probably include heinous shit like Child Pornography. The moderator will try to keep Trump on topic. At this point, Trump will claim the entire thing is rigged against him. The only part I am unsure about, is if Biden will lose his shit on Trump for the ugly shit Trump is going to be spewing all night long. I have my doubts that any of this will move the needle and still think the bigger issue for democrats are the first time voters that Trump may be inspiring. This is exactly what Trump’s going to do, and like I said, Biden has to have an answer. The race is already tightening in the swing states—Trump’s almost within the MOE in most of them, and closer than Hillary was in PA at this point in 2016. Quote Start with Pennsylvania, since that’s the state most likely to become the tipping point. Trump trailed Biden by 7.3 points in the RealClearPolitics average on Oct. 12. Since then, Biden’s been below 50% in 3 out of 4 polls, and Trump has been at 45% or above in all three. For instance, look at the Reuters/Ipsos polls; compared to a week ago, Trump's deficit has been reduced from 7 points to 4 points. Then, there is a handful of swing states closer than Pennsylvania, where Trump is tied or trailing by less than 3.8 points. In Arizona, Biden’s up by 3.1 points. In North Carolina, Biden’s up by 2 points. In Iowa, Biden’s up by 1.2 points. In Florida, Biden’s up by 1 point. In Georgia, Biden’s up by less than 1 point. (Btw, If Trump wins the electoral college, given the leads he has had up until literally two weeks before the election, I will propose a ban on election polls until October 30 of any given presidential election year, and will reassert the relative worthlessness of polling in forecasting elections) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 By all means, Trump should bring up Hunter over and over and also go after his drug use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 Current swing state poll avgs: ME: Biden +14.5 (slightly ahead in Maine's 2nd) VA: Biden +12.9 NM: Biden +12.8 CO: Biden +12.4 NH: Biden +11.6 NE's 2nd: Last several polls are Biden +11, +7, +6 MI: Biden +8 WI: Biden +7.3 PA: Biden +6.3 NV: Biden +6.1 AZ: Biden +3.9 FL: Biden +3.5 NC: Biden +3.2 GA: Biden +0.8 IA: Biden +0.2 OH: Trump +0.1 TX: Trump +1.2 AK: Trump +4.8 MO: Trump +6.1 There's been no noticeable tightening. 13 days left, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BloodyHell Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 15 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: By all means, Trump should bring up Hunter over and over and also go after his drug use. I actually saw a bit of this. “Biden’s son isn’t in his administration, and his problems aren’t funny, or his fathers fault”. I mean, it obviously hits with the worst of his base, but a lot of rural voters don’t like it as most of them have watched drugs destroy someone they know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewhyteboar Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 38 minutes ago, Signifyin(g)Monkey said: This is exactly what Trump’s going to do, and like I said, Biden has to have an answer. The race is already tightening in the swing states—Trump’s almost within the MOE in most of them, and closer than Hillary was in PA at this point in 2016. (Btw, If Trump wins the electoral college, given the leads he has had up until literally two weeks before the election, I will propose a ban on election polls until October 30 of any given presidential election year, and will reassert the relative worthlessness of polling in forecasting elections) Washington examiner, dude? Keep that high brow breitbart to yourself Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LazyPiranha Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 I honestly have no idea what to think is going to happen and I’m sick to death of the constant uncertainty. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marioandsonic Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 17 minutes ago, BloodyHell said: I actually saw a bit of this. “Biden’s son isn’t in his administration, and his problems aren’t funny, or his fathers fault”. I mean, it obviously hits with the worst of his base, but a lot of rural voters don’t like it as most of them have watched drugs destroy someone they know. As someone that has had to watch a younger brother deal with drug issues and rehab multiple times, Trump can go fuck himself. Trying to portray Hunter as this worthless crackhead (and possible pedophile, considering the whole laptop """""controversy""""" they're trying to push), and that reflects poorly on Biden...that's a special kind of evil. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BloodyHell Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 1 minute ago, marioandsonic said: As someone that has had to watch a younger brother deal with drug issues and rehab multiple times, Trump can go fuck himself. Trying to portray Hunter as this worthless crackhead (and possible pedophile, considering the whole laptop """""controversy""""" they're trying to push), and that reflects poorly on Biden...that's a special kind of evil. Sorry man. I have a bunch of family and old friends in the same position. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 I like 270towin, and this is a different kind of one. Enjoy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: I like 270towin, and this is a different kind of one. Enjoy. If you take the default map scenario and only turn texas blue, there's exactly one scenario where trump wins the EC and I really want to see what it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Quote According to a person with knowledge of what happened during the interview, Trump was unhappy that Stahl asked him tough questions regarding his rhetoric about Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) and his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, as well as the size of the crowds at his rallies and his disputes with Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious-disease expert. Stahl also told him during the interview that allegations about Biden’s son Hunter were not verified and that the Obama administration did not spy on the Trump campaign. Many of the questions were about the coronavirus pandemic and his handling of it, said the person, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the interview frankly. Quote When Trump first walked in, Stahl looked at him and said, “Are you ready for a tough interview?” The president believes “60 Minutes” will cut the interview in an unflattering way and has been talking all afternoon about how to preempt the footage, said the person familiar with the circumstances. After 45 minutes, Trump looked at staff members and said, “I think we’re done, do you guys agree?” The person familiar with the interview said that there are no bombshell revelations, but that Trump complained about it all day and wants to take the air out of it by releasing it early. Three aides, who were not authorized to speak publicly, said the president overreacted, and one suggested that he might actually boost the ratings of a tough interview. Quote A senior White House official said Trump had told aides he wanted to go after Stahl and brainstormed ideas after the session with a group of aides in the Oval Office. “The interview was not that bad,” a White House staff member said. “It wasn’t a bad interview. She just had a tone he didn’t like.” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Looks like they're already going after her/60 Minutes: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Wow a woman who spoke to trump in "a tone he didn't like" This is the center space of the trump sexism bingo card Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneticBlueprint Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Mr. President why are there 200k dead instead of a lower number? Well, that's just like, your opinion, man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 This should have happened long ago but better nate than lever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b_m_b_m_b_m Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Texas is such a stupid state 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 Couple of updates. First is Iowa (big NYT poll arrives tomorrow for it). Monmouth (great pollster) shows good numbers for Biden as Trump's lead has shrunk (Trump getting less and Biden getting more). In a high turnout model, Biden wins by 3 if the election were held today. We'll stack this up with NYT's tomorrow. For Nevada, Republicans have outvoted Democrats both days, which is the opposite of 2016. The difference? Significantly more Dems have voted by mail. http://thenevadaindependent.com//static/favicon.ico The early voting blog THENEVADAINDEPENDENT.COM Elections are about many things — candidates, campaigns, issues. But, ultimately, elections are about math. Quote Clark Dem firewall: 41,000 Washoe Dem lead: 11,000 Statewide Dem lead: 48,000 (estimated after rurals come in) Remember these numbers will change once I get more, later this morning, I hope. This is the best available data I have. ----Continue to keep in mind that this is an upside-down year – even in the red wave of 2014, the Republicans did not win Clark the way they had prior in the last two days in early voting. On the other hand, the Dems have never swamped the GOP in mail the way they have this cycle, which has much more than offset the in-person losses. So far. The mail ballots seem to have slowed down, but it’s unclear if it’s just a tabulation slowdown or an actual change in volume. Again, we will know more later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, b_m_b_m_b_m said: Texas is such a stupid state I don't get it. So that means the TX Governor can just say "I think the election was tampered with, I give all electors to Trump"? Or that the Governor gets to directly decide on any disputes that come up, rather than a court? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclumber1 Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, SaysWho? said: Couple of updates. First is Iowa (big NYT poll arrives tomorrow for it). Monmouth (great pollster) shows good numbers for Biden as Trump's lead has shrunk (Trump getting less and Biden getting more). In a high turnout model, Biden wins by 3 if the election were held today. We'll stack this up with NYT's tomorrow. For Nevada, Republicans have outvoted Democrats both days, which is the opposite of 2016. The difference? Significantly more Dems have voted by mail. http://thenevadaindependent.com//static/favicon.ico The early voting blog THENEVADAINDEPENDENT.COM Elections are about many things — candidates, campaigns, issues. But, ultimately, elections are about math. The counting of mail in ballots started yesterday per NV law. Of course the results won't be released until polls close on 3rd, but there shouldn't be any significant delay in election results in the state because the mail-ins are being counted now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CitizenVectron Posted October 21, 2020 Share Posted October 21, 2020 Early voting numbers have passed 40M. To compare, the total early votes for the last few elections: 2018 - 39M 2016 - 47M I think the early vote will pass 70M for sure, possibly 80M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaysWho? Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, mclumber1 said: The counting of mail in ballots started yesterday per NV law. Of course the results won't be released until polls close on 3rd, but there shouldn't be any significant delay in election results in the state because the mail-ins are being counted now. I feel as if PA may be the only one that doesn't do it like that. They're already counting them here in Florida as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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