Chairslinger

Agreed. I always thought Dems were wringing their hands too much over Kavanaugh "costing them a chance at the Senate".

The Pod Save guys have, rightfully imho, been raging about how this year is likely to be a rough repeat of 2010. And undoubtedly the narrative will be about Dems splitting the fight, or maybe even blowing it. Despite the fact that when Obama lost the House and kept the Senate it was a "shellacking". No way to get around it. Pick whatever metaphor you want. Republicans are better at working the refs. The squeaky wheel gets the grease. Republicans attack the press constantly, so they feel they have to give credence to their ridiculous claims lest they validate charges of bias.

538 is talking way too much about Dems "closing window" to take the Senate. I think that ship has sailed, guys.

Only if he agrees to double tap me in the back of the head.

I am there with you, man. It can be disappointing that no strong rebuke for the endless string of horribleness from Trump is coming. It fucking sucks. But, it's important to keep your eye on the prize. If Trump has shown us anything, it's that when you boil it down what's important is who wins, and who loses. If the Dems can't take the House....I really don't know what I am going to do. But if they win just enough to give Pelosi the gavel....it will be disappointing, and disheartening, but the important thing is we will have a substantive, tangible check on Trump's power. It may not be all we wanted....but it's what matters.

I remember hearing that Dems had a solid 17 or so seats that were very likely to flip. Their strong chances were based on a meaty two dozen others races where it was close, but figure out of all those races the Dems could at least scratch out 7 to take the House. What's worrisome is that it comes down to pretty much what happened in 2016, "Everything has to go just so for Trump to win" Unlikely for Republicans to win all the 1-3% races they need to keep the House, but possible if things fall just so....

Not a good sign. I think there were 3 or 4 Dem senators seen as more vulnerable than Donnelly.

Nate literally just changed the "aggressiveness" setting on his poll to prevent us all from Heaven's Gating ourselves.

McGrath is looking good.

Down goes Comstock

In '16 in stumbled into the thread around 7 or 8 like, "Hey bros....how much we up by?!?! High five! Wait...what?!?" Tonight I have been glued to the screen since 2pm and am like, "We got Guam!!! Fuck yeah!"

If(and that's a big if) Mueller is going to release his report without pressing the issue of an interview at all, that is likely horrible news for Trump. It means either they have him dead to rights, or the evidence against Trump is waaaaay weaker than it sure looks from the outside. Remember, Team Trump seemed to genuinely consider a written Q&A as a compromise. We assumed Mueller hasn't agreed to that because he is ready for fight over compelling an in person interview. If Mueller didn't want the Q&A...well, like I said. It would seem either he has him dead to rights with other evidence, or the evidence was so weak as to not even pursue answers.

It had never really occurred to me that Alaska was only 22 years old when I was born :mindblown:

It is still crazy to me how relatively little attention was paid to Manafort flipping. The election was coming up, Mueller went silent, and everyone just kind of forgot that, by all appearances, Mueller got his Sammy Gravano.

It's good. I am about 4 or 5 hours in, I think. Already seems like an impressively large world.

30% chance the Senate will go D or the House will remain R. Which is almost exactly where 538 had Trump's chances on ED '16 Mostly Minecraft. I played a bit of Horizon ZD finally, but mostly Minecraft.

3 more hours of work, and then I am glued to a TV until we know the results. And if the results are so close we have to wait two weeks for California I might just put a bullet through my head.

Wanna hear something funny? The text editor this site runs now saves posts you write, but don't send. I wrote the following post around the time Houston acquired Melo and decided not to send it because I felt it was a little unfair to them, but it's been sitting in the text editor all that time, and it's looking pretty accurate.... They come off as one of those teams that gets chesty before they've ever actually won anything.

Sounds very Hercules TLJ/Xena/GOWish.

On a surface level, maybe? I have been passionate about political topics like gay rights and reproductive freedom since even before then. I certainly had positions on our actions after 9/11. Obama's election is when I started to seek out discussion about politics rather then just, say, click on a thread now and then if it was about gay marriage or climate change. I will say my interest wasn't only in Obama. I had long been opposed to Bush, so a big factor in my interest was also just seeing Bush to the door. Put it this way, I was against Bush for the war in Iraq, but I couldn't have told you a damn thing about his push to privatize Social Security at the time.

His election is a big factor in why I got interested in politics.

If things don't go belly up, and we win at least the House on Tuesday, Trump makes it damn hard not to be a sore winner. His obsession with winning being the only thing that matters makes it hard not to do a victory lap on the takeover being rooted in how many tens of millions of people Trump inspired to loath him with a fiery, burning passion ( @ort ).